[SoftwareEngineer]

Actually I have a theory that Rasmussen is waiting for the final debate to reduce his “positive D” sample

Yesterday I had told my wife that I suspected Rasmussen would do it this way

SAT: R:49 O:48
SUN: R:49 O:47
MON: R:40 0:47 or even 46

We shall see. Obviously my prediction for today came true.

One thing that I feel is holding Mr. Rasmussen back is that he takes GREAT pride in stating that his polls do not “fluctuate” and that everything is “steady” as she goes. Read his commentary and he makes it a point of stating that “Nothing has changed since August” and that these minor swings are basically noise and the race is “remarkably steady”

So, it is not in his interest to show huge gains as that spoils his narrative. I suspect he will move one point a day, either taking one off President Obama or adding one to Gov. Romney

We shall see....

[SoftwareEngineer]

Quick edit: I meant

MON: R:50 0:47 or even 46

[Signalman]

In your scenario, Romney will drop 7 pts. in one day? Or was this a typo?

[tatown]

I agree with your theory.

Rasmussen is a business man first and foremost. The best way to retain eyes (both R & D’s) is to keep it as a horserace for as long as possible. Once the final debate is in the can, there will be nothing left for Ras to point to as a possibly inflection point IMO.

[BfloGuy]

MON: R:40 0:47 or even 46

Presumably you meant "R:50."

[nhwingut]

I agree... Scott has mentioned the steadiness of his poll several times, especially when Chuck Todd called his poll “slop.”

His poll has really been steady as you go (Obama at 46-48A 49-51D - and the race split). We liked the steadiness when Romney was down in the other polls. Now we hate the steadiness when Romney is surging elsewhere. It’s ironic.

With that said, he needs to move that sample a bit to reflect his part id survey (right now at R+2.6).

[adc]

“Actually I have a theory that Rasmussen is waiting for the final debate to reduce his “positive D” sample”

Exactly, they’re all businessmen FIRST. This race has never been close, tight or otherwise. And they all knew it. Creating the narrative doesn’t makes it so. I put the pollsters in the very same category as the old media. Finished.