Posted on 10/22/2012 9:12:14 AM PDT by cdchik123
Lots of buzz about the latest CBS News/Quinnipiac poll in Ohio, taken after the second debate, and especially about its methodology. Let’s take a look at the toplines first, which despite the rather silly sample shows Mitt Romney with the momentum in the Buckeye State:
President Obama is holding on to a five-point lead over Republican Mitt Romney in Ohio, but that margin has been cut in half since September, according to a new Quinnipiac University/CBS News poll.
Mr. Obama holds a 50 to 45 percent lead over Romney among likely voters in the Buckeye State, down from a 53 to 43 percent advantage on Sept. 26. Three percent of likely voters there are undecided.
A gender gap persists: President Obama still has a double-digit advantage among women, 55 to 40 percent (down from a 60 to 35 percent lead in the September poll), while Romney leads with men.
The president enjoys a 15-point lead with women, while Romney is ahead by seven points among men, 51 to 44 percent, virtually unchanged from last month. Mr. Obama has a nearly two to one lead with unmarried women, but married women are more divided in their vote preferences.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
With 54% - Romney is going to win OH and PA.
He won’t carry CA - demographics are different there than in Bush I’s day but he will also take NV, IA, WI, NH and at least 1 EV of out of ME with that figure.
It won’t be close.
LOL. That sample is ridiculous!
RE: Romney closing in on Obama in Ohio in CBS/Q-poll
“Closing in” won’t cut it. Voter fraud will be rampant in the cities of Ohio.
Romney has to win CONVINCINGLY otherwise we’d have a Al Franken situation in the Buckeye state.
And let’s not forget, No one has ever won the Presidency losing Ohio since.... Lincoln.
I SEE BS.
Just about every other poll has the race in a 0-2 point tilt toward Obama. Of course, the Dan Rather news network is going with the Messiah +5.
YASP (yet another skewed poll)
Democrats = 35%
Republicans = 26%
Independent = 34%
Really? Compared to the actual turnout of the last two elections:
2010:
D = 36%
R = 37%
I = 28%
2008:
D = 39%
R = 31%
I = 30%
Republican are going to turn out at a lower rate than they did in 2008? Horse-hockey.
Romney up by 7 with independents and this poll has a D+9 sample....absurd.
The Dems are planning on contesting OH post election for the win. The MSM is helping by serving up biased polls. Watch on election night when no one, not even FOX declares OH for Romney.
This is silly. Why not make the sample D + 20 and then Obama will be blowing Romney away!
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