My point was that 0bama’s loss cannot be a surprise to his base. They cannot think, going into election day, that he’s going to hands down win it.
If they know he’s going to lose, they are going to stay home. No point in casting a wasted vote.
And this means Romney will easily take swing states that are usually very close.
Watch IN - if Romney wins it by better than 25 points - he’ll have a very good night. IN traditionally gets called first and I knew the election was over in 2008 when it came in very late and went for Obama by a squeaker.