[LS]

If Obama is "on the rise," sure missing it in early voting. In my county---a key swing county in OH which went Obama big in 08---D early voting down 80% from 2008 (and I'm giving the Ds EVERY early vote, which clearly is not right, but I just want to do so for effect). At this rate, he'll lose OH by 4% or so. Just so you know.

You might look at early/absentee voting numbers rather than polls. Polls measure a STATED future INTENT to do something. Votes represent PAST EVIDENCE of something that already happened.

[lasereye]

If Romney doesn’t carry OH we’re holding you personally responsible.

[Private_Sector_Does_It_Better]

Great info! Thanks! Can you give us any other anecdotal tidbits? Who is airing more commercials? What’s the mood “on the street”? Who is more energized in your opinion.? Thanks in advance!!

[SoFloFreeper]

LS, have you seen this article in National Review?

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/331593/why-romney-doesnt-need-poll-lead-ohio-josh-jordan

A relevant quote seems to be at odds with your observations, unless I am misunderstanding... Here is the quote:

Enter Ohio, where the current estimates from compiling early in-person and absentee voting shows early turnout to be about 15 percent of voters. But responses in the current polls claim that 23 percent of registered voters have already voted. That means that polls are overstating early voting by eight percentage points on average. This could be in part because some voters have requested an absentee ballot and report that as voting, some have mailed in ballots that haven’t been counted as received yet, but some voters are also just flat out saying they voted when they haven’t. It’s impossible to know the exact reason, but it’s clear that more are claiming to vote than really have.

In the polls’ early-voting results, Obama leads on average by 20 points.

I thought your indications were that Rs were soaring with early votes/absentees...just wondering, am I not getting this right?