Posted on 10/24/2012 2:53:54 PM PDT by Perdogg
I also think it will be a Pyrrhic victory - because his overcommitment to Ohio will cost him Wisconsin, Iowa, Pennsylvania, and maybe even Nevada and Michigan.
The wife and I just decided we are going to go ahead and vote early here in the next few days.
Our household will give RR 3 early votes in Iowa to offset Obambi’s big “vote early” campaign.
disagree.
Excellent!
Thanks was thinking a registered, not likely voter, poll.
It’s high but reasonable.
They are really delusional.
Ohio is going GOP.
Isn’t the real party turnout something between the 2008 and 2010 numbers? That would place the race in a dead heat.
I concur, and I posted a bit of my thinking as to why in another thread:
What has been ignored in all the discussion about polling is that, historically, the GOP candidate's share of the vote in Ohio correlates very closely with his share of the national vote.
In 2008, McCain earned 46.5% of the national popular vote; his Ohio share was 47.3%. In 2004, George W. Bush earned 50.7% of the national popular vote; his Ohio share was 51%. In 2000, George W. Bush earned about 48% of the national popular vote; his Ohio share was 52%.
You can go back even further, but the results are the same - GOP candidates tend to equal or overperform their national popular vote percentage. I feel confident in predicting that if Romney is leading in the national polls on Election Day, he will carry Ohio.
I hate to disagree, but Ohio is far more favorable to Romney than is Pennsylvania or Michigan. I remain very confident that Romney will carry Ohio, and believe he will not carry Pennsylvania.
They're doing this so after Romney wins they can propagandize the meme that he stole the election.
“What are we going to do with it?”
This is desperation with heaping loads of lies and propaganda to make the leftist freaks feel good. After this election, patriots need to make a concerted effort to stomp their leftist neighbor’s balls into the concrete.
Personally, after seeing the early voting stats, I’m MUCH more confident. If they don’t bury us in early voting, they lose. We are actually WINNING many of the key counties, though.
Well, so far it’s been an epic fail. They had 27 Greyhound busses to take blacks from the Obama event to vote and expected “thousands” of early voters. One bus arrived full, after that, nothing. They ended up with 300.
I don’t understand where the 2,200 number comes from. Is that “in-person” voting you are referring to, as opposed the 28,000 AB’s already cast?:
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html
Thanks in advance.
It’s in Montgomery County, and it does NOT include absentees. It is the “in person early voting #,” and it is EARLY voting, not necessarily absentees, that killed us in 08. They are seriously screwed.
Good to hear. And here in West Texas, where even the Mexicans vote big for Republicans, they are reporting unprecedented early voting turnout.
I think the GOP is energized, hopefully cross-country.
With all the wise men saying that the Republicans can’t win the election without winning Ohio, I hope Romney wins in a 49 state sweep but loses in Ohio. Maybe the Social Democrats would go to court and claim that Romney could not have won because he lost Ohio.
If Democrats like to vote early and the early vote is down drastically it must be because the Ohio Democrats are all revved up to run in and vote on Election Day! Right?
McCain WON OH on election day, but lost in early voting.
I stand by my 3-4% Romney win in OH prediction.
Every West Texan I know is voting Republican =)
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