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Michigan Poll: Obama and Romney in dead heat (47-47)
My Fox Detriot ^ | 10/24/12 | My fox detriot

Posted on 10/24/2012 4:56:59 PM PDT by barmag25

Foster McCollum White Baydoun (FMW)B, a national public opinion polling and voter analytics consulting firm based in Michigan and representing the combined resources of Foster McCollum White & Associates (Troy Michigan) and Baydoun Consulting (Dearborn Michigan) conducted a telephone-automated polling random survey of Michigan registered and most likely November 2012 General election voters for Fox 2 News Detroit to determine their voting and issue preferences for the presidential election.

An initial qualifying statement was read to respondents asking them to participate only if they were very likely to vote in the November General Election.

Thirty five thousand (35,000) calls were placed, and 1,122 respondents fully participated in the survey. The margin of error for this total polling sample is 2.93% with a confidence level of 95%.

The 2012 United States Presidential election will be held on November 6, 2012. Who are you most likely to vote for in the election?

President Barack Obama 46.92% Republican Nominee Mitt Romney 46.56% another candidate 2.30% Undecided 4.23%

(Excerpt) Read more at myfoxdetroit.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: breaking; deadheat; mi2012; michigan; obama; poll2012; polls2012; romney; tie
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To: onyx
Very powerful.

We have to invite Clint to the FR inaugural party.......

61 posted on 10/24/2012 11:42:59 PM PDT by Lakeshark (I don't care for Mitt; the alternative is unthinkable)
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To: The_Reader_David
"35000 calls were made to get 1122 participants? That seems like a lot of calls for such a low participation rate."

"And that is why the polls are now rubbish: with response rates that low, the conclusions are unstable and liable to be biased (though you can't tell how) due to some systematic cause for non-response. You can't publish a paper based on a survey in any reputable journal in the social or behavioral sciences with a response rate of under 30%."

Unless, of course, you've just dialed every voter in Michigan and completed the population sample. Close!

62 posted on 10/24/2012 11:45:47 PM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NV, NH = 291EV)
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To: Lakeshark

Indeed, and you bring him one of your chairs!


63 posted on 10/24/2012 11:48:14 PM PDT by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Lakeshark

I truly want to be enthusiastic about this election and hope and pray that Mitt wins, but I sure don’t want to get over confident. Remember, we are dealing with crooks, liars and voter fraud.

I don’t think MI will go Romney. I sure want to be proven wrong on this.


64 posted on 10/25/2012 1:55:52 AM PDT by Catsrus (Ma)
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To: madison10

I was just wondering yesterday about how many of those O signs I saw east of Saginaw on 46 in front of nice brick homes were there just for protection or show. Mr. P is less optimistic than I am. I think there are a lot of Romney Democrats that of course aren’t going to admit that.


65 posted on 10/25/2012 2:16:05 AM PDT by Mrs. P (Figures can lie, and liars can figure.)
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To: cookcounty
in the biggest election blowout in history, in 1964, Johnson beat Goldwater 60%-40%

Sorry, but all due respect to your Michigan nostalgia, 1964 was not the biggest election blowout in history. 1972 was.

66 posted on 10/25/2012 2:32:57 AM PDT by nwrep
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To: goldstategop

“This poll is a tease - it always looks intriguing and then at the end the D pulls away to win comfortably”

The Romney Packs ran ads last night right before the first pitch of he baseball game all over MI. This was not cheep. Don’t forget in 2010 Michigan elected more repubs they at any time in its history. Supermajority in senate,,house and governor. if the weather cooperates and it rains in metro Detroit this could be a big night in the wolverine state.


67 posted on 10/25/2012 3:47:47 AM PDT by crosslink (Moderates should play in the middle of a busy street)
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To: The_Reader_David

And answered. Even if all were valid we don’t know how many were answered and how many actual live adults accepted or declined to be polled.


68 posted on 10/25/2012 4:05:17 AM PDT by wiggen (The teacher card. When the racism card just won't work.)
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To: goldstategop

Detroit skews everything - its a dying city but still makes the difference in presidential elections.

This poll is a tease - it always looks intriguing and then at the end the D pulls away to win comfortably.

I’m sure what the optimism is about MI... it hasn’t gone R since 1988.

**
Right. hard for me to get too excited. People of Detroit LOVE living amongst urban blight, rats, total desintigration of their town and society ...it’s what Democrats DO. Will forever remain a mystery to me WHY people could EVER vote Democrat after seeing what they’ve done to Detroit.


69 posted on 10/25/2012 4:16:07 AM PDT by LibsRJerks
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To: Ken H

Exactly...16 point spread last election.

If the autobail out was helping O, it would be even worse for Romney than ‘08.

I also agree that there is no way Ohio is tied if it’s that close in MI.


70 posted on 10/25/2012 4:24:02 AM PDT by BuckeyeGOP
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To: cookcounty
The current congressional makeup of Michigan.

Image Hosted by ImageShack.us
71 posted on 10/25/2012 4:29:49 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: Catsrus

Things have changed considerably in Michigan over the last 6 or 8 years. Its also important to note that the 04 race wasn’t exactly a blowout for Kerry in Michigan (something like 4 or 5 percent). 08 was different because it was the “historic” election of a black man.

Now our voter ID laws are firmly in place. We have one of the best secretaries of state in the nation and she is backed up by a good attorney general. Both of them were targets of fraud and have zero tolerance for it.

As someone else pointed out upthread, unions in Michigan are in disarray now as well. There are divisions between public and private sector unions with divisions within both. The union conservatives are openly supporting Romney and right to work laws and factions within the SEIU are now suing each other.


72 posted on 10/25/2012 4:57:42 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: cripplecreek
While none of these address the presidential election they do give an idea of the divisions growing within the unions and their supporters.

Infighting at the SEIU Union behind Proposal 4 facing lawsuit that was filed by its own employees

Freep Editorial Page Editor Not Going to be Bullied by Prop 2 Supporters

Hospital SEIU Members Say Home-Based Caregivers Get 'No Benefit' From Proposal 4

Union member says Proposal 2 is an "over-reaching power grab"(video)

Terry Bowman is head of the union conservatives.

Unionconsevatives.com
73 posted on 10/25/2012 5:10:39 AM PDT by cripplecreek (What does it profit a man if he gains the whole world but loses his soul?)
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To: cripplecreek

Sent Foster McLullen & White an email asking for breakdowns, hinting they’d get more attention if we had numbers.

Will update if I hear ...


74 posted on 10/25/2012 6:16:35 AM PDT by HannibalHamlinJr
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To: Jet Jaguar

Thank you for all the pings.


75 posted on 10/25/2012 6:41:14 AM PDT by TheOldLady
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