[wmfights]

My take is Romney wins OH by 4+ to 5+ next month.

I doubt it.

The union bailout of GM/Chrysler plays big in OH. Also, the Pub's came to power in 2010 and started making real changes which has led to economic growth, especially in central OH., so unemployment is down. Finally, the Roman Catholic vote is not believed to have changed enough to have any real impact.

I hope the author's analysis is correct. I don't see a blowout in OH for Romney just as I don't see PA., or MI., going for Romney.

[thingumbob]

This article is something you should read then. Cuyahoga county is the road block to a Romney win if enthusiasm for the Democrats is low throughout the state..... which it is. Franklin county (Columbus) is the breakeven point and Hamilton county (Cincy) is the Republican version of Cuyahoga county (Cleveland) and a thorn in the Democrats' side. Montgomery and Stark counties tend to be the bell weathers.

As Cuyahoga county becomes weaker for the Democrats in numbers Ohio becomes more difficult to win because the rural counties can make up the difference and move Ohio to the Republicans on Election day.

It is possible that Romney will win Ohio by this much and having lived in Ohio most of my life, now watching it from Georgia, I can tell you also that RCP rarely if ever gets it right......

I, too, think Ohio will will be won by a 4 to 5 point spread.

[fortheDeclaration]

Don't need a 'blowout' just enough to take the State.

Obama isn't going to win the State without the Independent voters and they are going strong for Romney.

[cherry]

don’t forget the Delphi workers and the bond holders who lost tons of money...