[Mr. Jeeves]

That tends to validate my alternative scenario that Mitt Romney would fare much better in affluent suburbs than have the previous Republican nominees since 1992, and would run more like George Bush did in 1988.

Best example will be California. Romney won't win, but his final total may shock Democrats and pundits - who thought all those wealthy California suburbanites actually liked Obama.

[wolfman23601]

So Romney is ahead in the suburbs, tied with women, double digit lead with independents, and enjoys a significant enthusiasm gap. Yet, the race is essentially tied with the edge to Obama in the critical states? Something just doesn’t pass the smell test. Either the polls are keeping it close for the horse race attention and they will break sometime late next week or one of the sides is going to be very surprised.