We just need a net +1 for Ryan to act as the tie breaker.
We are danger of going -1 in Indiana; Mourdock has not run a good campaign, and despite having had a narrow lead over Donnelly, Mourdock handed the leftist media a gift that might cost him the election. He’s getting hammered for his abortion as a result of rape comment in his last debate.
If GOP senate candidates would have the discipline to refrain from mentioning abortion and rape in the same sentence, GOP control of the senate would easily be assured this November. No matter how true or heartfelt the sentiments expressed are, the Dems and the media will exploit them to the maximum level imaginable.
There are currently 47 Republicans. They’re going to lose Maine and may well lose Massachusetts as well. That means in order to take control of the Senate they need to pick up 6 seats from the Democrats. And I just don’t see where they can do that. Three seat or four seats, maybe. But that still leaves them in the minority.
My take as of today
Start at 47
Minus Maine (46)
Minus Mass (45)
Plus Nebraska (46)
Plus North Dakota (47)
Plus Montana (48)
Plus Wisconsin (49)
Plus Virginia (50)
Ends at 50/50