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Washington Post: "The Momentum Myth"
The Washington Post ^ | 10/25/2012 | Jonathan Bernstein

Posted on 10/25/2012 2:11:07 PM PDT by Redcat

Republicans have been pushing hard this week to convince people that Mitt Romney is wrapping up the presidential election. Since he’s not actually, well, leading, Romney partisans have relied on the idea that Romney has momentum: Even if he isn’t actually ahead yet, he is certain to take a commanding lead any minute now.

But that “momentum” appears to have been entirely an invention of Republican spinners. It’s certainly true that Romney made impressive gains on Barack Obama in roughly the first week of October, probably in most part as a consequence of the first debate. But after that, the contest has been almost completely flat.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012election; denial; washingtonpost
Denial is not just a river in Africa.
1 posted on 10/25/2012 2:11:14 PM PDT by Redcat
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To: Redcat

just wow


2 posted on 10/25/2012 2:12:33 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: Redcat

Washington Post ? the only thing that is of any momentum coming from the Obama campaign or the main stream media is the crap that comes from bulls... Bull Dukey


3 posted on 10/25/2012 2:14:07 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: snarkytart

I guess it’s true — Denial isn’t just a river in Africa!


4 posted on 10/25/2012 2:14:46 PM PDT by cpa4you (CPA4YOU)
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To: Redcat; All

” . Since he’s not actually, well, leading, Romney partisans have relied on the idea that Romney has momentum: “

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2950192/posts

This fool need only read his own newspaper : )


5 posted on 10/25/2012 2:15:13 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker ((God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.))
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To: Redcat

The first stage of grief followed by anger, bargaining and acceptance.


6 posted on 10/25/2012 2:15:22 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved FrieGrnd Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Redcat

I guess this guy doesn’t read his papers own polls...

“ABC/WASHPOST DAILY: R:50 O:47: MAJOR MOVE!”

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2950192/posts

Denial is right.. (or in this case, left)


7 posted on 10/25/2012 2:15:43 PM PDT by Bigh4u2 (Denial is the first requirement to be a liberal)
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To: Redcat

I’m not sure if Juan Williams could have penned a worse article.


8 posted on 10/25/2012 2:15:49 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist
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To: Redcat

I stand by this:
http://www.americanthinker.com/2012/10/the_wave_that_breaks_the_liberal_bubble.html

Read it, remember it, re read it the day after the election.


9 posted on 10/25/2012 2:15:53 PM PDT by C. Edmund Wright ("You Might Be a Liberal" (YMBAL) Coming out Sept 1 by C. Edmund Wright)
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To: Redcat
LOL at this article. Winner of the "Should Have Waited One More Day Before Publishing" award. Their own poll says otherwise.
10 posted on 10/25/2012 2:16:11 PM PDT by Paradox (I want Obama defeated. Period.)
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To: Redcat
What’s that figure I just read the other day? Something about late deciders historically breaking 80-20 for the challenger? I hope Jonathan isn't found swinging from an overhead beam in his basement on the morning of 11/7.That would break my heart.
11 posted on 10/25/2012 2:16:38 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Ambassador Stevens Is Dead And The Chevy Volt Is Alive)
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To: Redcat

This with their own poll just being released which has Romney reaching the 50% mark.


12 posted on 10/25/2012 2:17:00 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: All


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13 posted on 10/25/2012 2:17:00 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: stephenjohnbanker

Darn! Beat me by 30 seconds...

:0)


14 posted on 10/25/2012 2:17:03 PM PDT by Bigh4u2 (Denial is the first requirement to be a liberal)
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To: Redcat

Do you have to have a name ending in ‘Stein’ to work at the COMPOST??? Liberal Jews fear and hate Christians but don’t fear or hate communism. Strange world.


15 posted on 10/25/2012 2:18:39 PM PDT by Doc Savage ("I've shot people I like a lot more,...for a lot less!" Raylan Givins)
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To: Bigh4u2

Looks like quite a few of us just looked at the latest posts and saw this article headline at the same time as the poll article. :-)


16 posted on 10/25/2012 2:18:45 PM PDT by Republican Wildcat
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To: goldstategop

I actually laughed out loud at that!


17 posted on 10/25/2012 2:18:52 PM PDT by Straight Vermonter (Posting from deep behind the Maple Curtain)
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To: Redcat; All
"Denial is not just a river in Africa."


Help End The Obama Era In 2012
Your Monthly and Quarterly Donations
Help Keep FR In the Battle!

Sponsoring FReepers are contributing
$10 Each time a New Monthly Donor signs up!
Get more bang for your FR buck!
Click Here To Sign Up Now!


18 posted on 10/25/2012 2:19:37 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: Redcat

Guy’s article is posted at 11:34 on WaPo and at 5:00 he’s already wrong!

How stupid can the guy be?

I guess it’s “hope” rather than facts.


19 posted on 10/25/2012 2:20:37 PM PDT by Right Wing Assault (Dick Obama is more inexperienced now than he was before he was elected.)
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To: Bigh4u2

Meanwhile, back at the ranch....

WaPo columnist Jonathan Bernstein to vacation in the Grand Caymans......


20 posted on 10/25/2012 2:21:56 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker ((God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.))
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To: Redcat

This week is denial week for the media.

Next week is CYA week for the media.

And the following week will be recriminations week for the media


21 posted on 10/25/2012 2:22:28 PM PDT by johncocktoasten (Practicing asymetrical thread warfare against anti-Palin Trolls)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

Wright on the money.


22 posted on 10/25/2012 2:23:28 PM PDT by stephenjohnbanker ((God, family, country, mom, apple pie, the girl next door and a Ford F250 to pull my boat.))
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To: Redcat

This is great news, I was going to vote for Obama but since he’s so far ahead, I’ll stay home. Great strategy.


23 posted on 10/25/2012 2:28:39 PM PDT by Lx (Do you like it, do you like it. Scott? I call it Mr. and Mrs. Tennerman chili.)
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To: Redcat
Hey Jonathan, wish in one hand and sh#t in the other, and see which hand fills faster.

5.56mm

24 posted on 10/25/2012 2:28:51 PM PDT by M Kehoe
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To: Redcat

I could have swore that WP’s own poll has Romney ahead by 3pts.


25 posted on 10/25/2012 2:34:39 PM PDT by goodolemr
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To: Redcat
Denial is not just a river in Africa.

Africa? That's dog whistle language.

26 posted on 10/25/2012 2:41:43 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (Soebarkah Soetoro)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

That was great and I hope the wave is as big as you say.


27 posted on 10/25/2012 2:42:24 PM PDT by PMAS (All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing)
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To: Redcat

READ THE POLL FROM YOUR OWN PAPER !


28 posted on 10/25/2012 2:48:33 PM PDT by Arec Barrwin
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To: goodolemr

29 posted on 10/25/2012 2:49:44 PM PDT by Redcat
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To: Redcat

... and in other news, there are no Americn troops in Baghdad.


30 posted on 10/25/2012 2:50:21 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Hope and Change has become Attack and Obfuscate.)
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To: Redcat

... and in other news, there are no American troops in Baghdad.


31 posted on 10/25/2012 2:50:42 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (Hope and Change has become Attack and Obfuscate.)
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To: Redcat
Maybe this may come as a surprise to this ash hole but his own piece of crap rag just published a 50/47 Romney lead. Sorry jerk face but ROMNEY IS LEADING even in liberal fantasy land.
32 posted on 10/25/2012 2:53:16 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberalism is lies.)
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To: Redcat

In less than a month, this horse crap will be washed away with liberal tears. What a glorious day that will be.


33 posted on 10/25/2012 2:54:57 PM PDT by pallis
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To: Redcat

Yeah, and if you average in all the polls going back to 2009, Romney’s waaaaaaay behind.


34 posted on 10/25/2012 2:55:50 PM PDT by BfloGuy (Teach a man to fish and you lose a Democratic voter.)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

I enjoyed reading that piece very much.

Thank you for posting the link.


35 posted on 10/25/2012 3:05:54 PM PDT by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Romney & Ryan.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: Redcat

I smell desperation....


36 posted on 10/25/2012 3:06:18 PM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: Redcat

THAT is a brain on dope.

LLS


37 posted on 10/25/2012 3:09:32 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: jeffc
Bunker mentality epitome. There, a couple of big words about that opinion piece.
38 posted on 10/25/2012 3:20:05 PM PDT by carumba (The secret of life is honesty and fair dealing. If you can fake that, you've got it made. Groucho)
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To: Redcat

The only thing he can point to as an indication that Obama really is ahead is Nate Silver’s odds that Obama is going to win. And we all know what a freakin joke Silver is at this point. This really is denial.


39 posted on 10/25/2012 3:20:20 PM PDT by Opinionated Blowhard ("When the people find they can vote themselves money, that will herald the end of the republic.")
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To: Redcat
"The Momentum Myth"

In some circles, one would say this chap is; "whistling past the cemetery!"

40 posted on 10/25/2012 3:21:39 PM PDT by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
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To: C. Edmund Wright

I agree this could be a wave election for Republicans. But breaking the liberal bubble? We’re electing Romney. He’s a progressive as I define progressive—a politician for whom every problem elicits a government solution, probably a federal one.

No, Romney is not nearly as bad as Obama, who might be characterized as a vicious progressive. But America is not voting for small-government conservatism because none are on the ballot. Sadly, were one on the ballot, he or she would be defeated in a landslide.

This election (assuming we win it) is just the first step in a Hostile Takeover (to crib Matt Kibbe’s term) of the US Government. It will, hopefully stop thing from getting a lot worse, while small government conservatives continue to build our infrastructure and develop experienced small-government candidates for future races.

But the worst possible reaction to a Romney victory would be for conservatives to say, “whew, it’s OK now. I can relax. The liberal bubble has been destroyed.” It’s not OK and they cannot relax and the liberals will still be running things in D.C. That they will have R’s by their names and will not be as ugly a set of liberals does not change that.

I can feel the wave. But it’s a Republican wave. And that doesn’t mean a whole lot, except that Obama, Pelosi, and Reid’s wrecking ball gets turned off for four years.


41 posted on 10/25/2012 3:24:02 PM PDT by ModelBreaker
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To: Doc Savage
Do you have to have a name ending in ‘Stein’ to work at the COMPOST??? Liberal Jews fear and hate Christians but don’t fear or hate communism. Strange world.

Worst yet, not only do they not fear or hate Communism, they don't fear or hate those who would destroy Israel and murder every single Jew on Earth--and that includes this Leftist Moonbat--which is Radical Islam, which just happens to be an Oxymoron as all of this cult-cum-religion (Islam) is by its very nature, Radical.

42 posted on 10/25/2012 3:27:13 PM PDT by neveralib
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To: Redcat
Sounds like WaPo is suffering from Bomnesia
43 posted on 10/25/2012 3:28:53 PM PDT by Slyfox
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To: Redcat
guess he must of missed the WAPO/ABC poll with R-50/0-47then...
44 posted on 10/25/2012 3:36:54 PM PDT by Chode (American Hedonist - *DTOM* -ww- NO Pity for the LAZY)
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To: ModelBreaker

With due respect, I think you either just read the header or skimmed - there is about 20% of the article explaining that this is an anti liberal, and not a pro conservative - wave. And it is anti liberal, anti elite, and anti media.

There are several distinct parts of the article calling out Rove, Romney and Ryan as “riding” this wave but NOT driving it. Read it. I think you’ll agree.


45 posted on 10/25/2012 4:05:29 PM PDT by C. Edmund Wright ("You Might Be a Liberal" (YMBAL) Coming out Sept 1 by C. Edmund Wright)
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To: cpa4you

Washington Post: You socialist democrats would win every election if only the results were based on 1. EXIT POLLS 2. Polls skewered +8 or +9 towards the democrats. But unfortunately, the good feeling you gain from re-arranging the deck chairs on the titanic, doesn’t last very long.


46 posted on 10/25/2012 4:10:37 PM PDT by spawn44 (moo)
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To: Redcat

Washington Post and the NYTs ? what’s the difference, both of them are in denial mode now.


47 posted on 10/25/2012 4:27:46 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: Redcat

The Compost tried to create its own fake momentum along with the rest of the media and partisan pollsters, who, through the use of oversampled Democrats, tried to make the re-election of Obama seem inevitable through the use of these rigged polls back in September.


48 posted on 10/25/2012 6:37:25 PM PDT by winner3000
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