When I looked at the raw numbers a bit more, we have to remember the "other" (non-affiliated) seem to be breaking for Romney by a fairly significant amount. So the 'Red vs Blue' in those early vote numbers need to be weighted more for the red.
I think I can sleep better now :)
I haven’t really heard how endorsing gay marriage has affected black voter turn out. I have read that Black Ministers really don’t like Obama’s gay marriage intiatives and aren’t pushing for the Obama vote. Did Obama really think more gays would vote for him than he would lose in black votes?