2012 U.S. Electorate Looks Like 2008 (Gallup)

Gallup ^

[jwb0581]

Just released - Gallup is projecting 36R 35D 29I turnout in 2012.

[Doctor 2Brains]

for later

[neodad]

It’s going to be a blow out...

[Radio Free Tuscaloosa]

Just released - Gallup is projecting 36R 35D 29I turnout in 2012.

If that's really true, then this race is over.

[nhwingut]

If true. We are looking at a Reagan landslide.

All the polls showing Romney up 50-47 are based on D+4-6 models.

[tatown]

If true, Romney will win by double digits.

[nhwingut]

This means the Gallup poll should continue to show Romney with 50% support until election day.

[Gay State Conservative]

If these stats are accurate and “Independents” break 60-40 for Romney (as I think I've read) the evening of 11/6 could be a long one for our Community Organizer-In-Chief and his wide-bodied bride.

[BuckeyeGOP]

...and yet the article headlines the with the electorate looks like 2008???????

[ScottinVA]

Is that the model the Unskewed Polls site is using? If so, they just picked up a huge dose of cred.

[Tennessean4Bush]

This is huge.

[Arm_Bears]

Did Gallup ever hear of the 2010 mid-terms?

[apillar]

And all the major pollsters are still using the 2008 turnout model or some various thereof, even Ras is using a +6D model.

[goldstategop]

I agree - with those kind of numbers - its a landslide and the GOP strengthens its control of the House and takes over the Senate.

[tatown]

Didn’t Rasmussen supposedly go D+6 today? What an idiot if true.

[BuckeyeGOP]

I wonder how well Gallup did with predicting the 2008 turnout stats. That would be significant in terms of how much cred this story gets.

[6ppc]

If true. We are looking at a Reagan landslide.

Does anyone have a pool going on the electoral vote totals? My money is on Romney 322, zero 216. If Michigan goes Romney it will be even worse for zero.

[pgkdan]

Well if that’s the turnout we’re looking at a Romney blow out. We just need to keep working our butts off until election day!

[mrs9x]

Yes, if turnout is like that, then all of the polls are skewed right now towards Democrats.

No wonder Chuckie Schumer and Harry Reid have had such long faces of late about whether they will hold the Senate.

[Genoa]

Lots of cred with me. I go to Unskewed Polls for reality and encouragement. Golly, they might even be understating it this time if indeed R turnout will be higher than D.