Posted on 10/26/2012 9:12:01 AM PDT by Arthurio
1 WEEK TO ELECTION DAY ... 20 ELECTORAL VOTES AT STAKE ... KERRY 50%, BUSH 47%
☛ IN AN ELECTION FOR PRESIDENT IN OHIO TODAY, JOHN KERRY DEFEATS GEORGE W BUSH 50% TO 47%, ACCORDING TO A SURVEYUSA POLL OF 831 LIKELY VOTERS CONDUCTED 10/23 - 10/25.
☛ 3 WKS AGO, KERRY LED BY 1 PT. 1 WK AGO, KERRY LED BY 2 PTS. TODAY, KERRY LEADS BY 3.
(Excerpt) Read more at surveyusa.com ...
Yes, that is what the polls were showing back in 2004 - this wasn’t the only poll showing Kerry up and reaching the 50% mark.
Turn out, turn out, turn out is the key. If our voters show up, we win. Bottom line.
OH: 18 EVs this year, 20 EVs in 2004, 25 EVs in 1980. Let’s have a quick census and lower that number even further, making OH less of a necessity.
This just shows that SurveyUSA is and always was a crap poll.
It would be great if this old rubric would go down this election. Better yet, would be a Romney win by at least 4 points, of course.
I saw a TV News clip in which Republicans and RATS acknowledged GOP had a better OHIO ground game. The clip also acknowledged that the RATS had a better ground game in Nevada due to the UNIONS in Clark country.
I can’t wait until all the liberals thinking they have this in the bag watch the results come in and that realization of their impending loss begins to spread across their face...
As soon as a major swing state like WI, PA, or Ohio is called for Romney, I’m switching to MSNBC to watch Chris Matthews lose his mind on air. :)
You’re exactly right. Ohio electoral influence has steadily been diminishing for the past 40 years. And, based upon the rate that the young and intelligent are bailing out of the upper Midwest its likely after the 2020 census Ohio will be down to 17 maybe 16 EV’s....... Yea........
Remember when the Brits tried to influence Ohio voters by sending letters to them:
The Guardian (UK), Wednesday 20 October 2004
America, let us love you again ...
We asked for copies of your letters to the voters of Clark County, and they arrived in their droves. Read a selection of the best - and don’t miss Ian Katz on the Guardian’s unique experiment
Ian Katz on the Guardian’s unique experiment
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2004/oct/21/uselections2004.usa4
Letters:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2004/oct/21/uselections2004.usa4
“As soon as a major swing state....is called for Romney, I’m switching to MSNBC....”
LOL! Ping me, because I’m planning to hide under my bed on election night. I am going to be SO nervous, it aint’ even gonna be funny.
I’d love to see something wild, like NJ or something going for Romney, then their little heads would surely explode!
I agree. I want to hear, “east coast polls are closing and let’s go to New Jersey... Erin?”
“Well Wolf, with 1% of the ballots in, Romney is leading 67-33%. For senate, Joe kyrillos looks to be replacing Bob Menendez as senator.”
I just want to wake up on the 7th and find out that the Republicans have a. 54-46 margin in the senate, congress held and Romney is president. The 54 takes care of Brown, Snowe and Collins.
“I’m switching to MSNBC to watch Chris Matthews lose his mind on air.”
That would be fun to watch.
Ha, no reason to hide.
Trust me, this will be VERY fun to watch. I think Obama’s “safe” states will come down to the wire and the pundits are going to be flipping.
2004 Bush won Ohio 50.8% to 48.7%, vs national 50.7% to 48.3%
So Ohio tracks the national results pretty well.
It's simply a correlation, that whoever wins nationally will likely also win Ohio. Obama appears to think there's some mystical significance to Ohio, so he's be putting lots of ads there. The net result may be that he wins Ohio, but loses enough swings states to make Romney the winner, and retire the meme that a Republican needs to win Ohio.
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