The killer is in his last line:
"220,000 fewer Democrats have voted early in Ohio compared with 2008. And 30,000 more Republicans have cast their ballots compared with four years ago. That is a 250,000-vote net increase for a state Obama won by 260,000 votes in 2008."
I would bet we make up that 10,000 margin in Warren County alone.
It's also useful to note that Rich Beeson, Romney's campaign manager, says that Ds are "cannibalizing" their election day vote to try to get "early" votes while Romney's campaign has targeted, as he calls them, "low propensity voters" during early voting. They KNOW the base will turn out.
We worked on low propensity voters here in Illinois and the strategy works. These are people who vote GOP, but don’t vote. Go figure.
FReepers - there are Victory Centers in every state. Even if Romney’s winning, we need to think down ticket and give him the most conservative Congress we can.
Please head out to a Victory Center and help call these LPV out to vote. Let’s win and win big!