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Ohio Demographics Point to a Romney Victory
National Review ^ | 10-26-2012 | David Hartline - Commentary

Posted on 10/26/2012 9:32:26 PM PDT by smoothsailing

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To: Jim from C-Town

He had 9000 in Dayton . . . And only 300 showed up to early vote.


41 posted on 10/27/2012 3:32:59 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: Perdogg

And right on schedule, Adrian Gray’s numbers show a .01 GOP lead with a quarter million early votes cast. Forgetting indies for a moment, and any D-/R crossovers, this comes out to about a 1.6% margin. This ( if my math is right) leaves Rs just 45,000 short going into Election Day after accounting for absentee deficit. Again, even without Indies, this should be covered by Warren and Hamilton alone. Indies will make a difference between a very narrow win and a 4-5% victory.


42 posted on 10/27/2012 3:44:04 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: tcrlaf

Everyone is noticing. Brian Williams and his NBC news organization have forfeited their reputation. I hope its worth it. They’ll be in the ashcan along with GM in short order.


43 posted on 10/27/2012 4:06:47 AM PDT by chiller (First check the poll's Dem/Rep/Ind sampling numbers, then re-think.)
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To: Impy

Wasn’t Harding FROM Ohio?


44 posted on 10/27/2012 4:43:58 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Fascinating history! Thanks for the education! :)


45 posted on 10/27/2012 4:49:17 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: SoFloFreeper

Sure thing. Any other questions you have on the subject, I’ll try to answer them. (Now, if only I could get paid for this... aherm...).


46 posted on 10/27/2012 5:04:37 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

One of the best accounts of Harding’s tenure I’ve seen is a brief description in Paul Johnson’s epic history “Modern Times”. Johnson does a good job debunking the pop culture notion that Harding was an incompetent boob.


47 posted on 10/27/2012 5:21:04 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Perdogg

Nice analysis. Hopefully history will continue to repeat itself in 2012.


48 posted on 10/27/2012 5:56:50 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: InterceptPoint; SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; ...

Rasmussen Saturday. Romney 50-46. Romney pulls republicans 88-10, democrats 11-86, independents 58-35! Swing state poll Romney 51-45


49 posted on 10/27/2012 5:59:51 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: SoFloFreeper; Impy; Perdogg; BillyBoy; Clintonfatigued; AuH2ORepublican; Clemenza; BlackElk

Whoops, I meant to say the subject of political history, not specifically Harding. Yes, I think Harding has gotten a raw deal. I think he was a very underrated President and he got us out of a recession from the end of Wilson’s 2nd term (or rather the Edith Wilson Administration, since Woody was a turnip after 1919) very swiftly. He also presided over fairly good times in this country.

The problem was he trusted some folks who obviously shouldn’t have been (which has happened before, and after). I think had he served out two full terms, he might’ve been better regarded (although because he was a Republican and Conservative, we all know the fair shake they get). It’s too bad Hoover didn’t follow the Harding/Coolidge economic model, but that’s what happens when you get a “Progressive” ex-Democrat serving as a Republican (my enormous worry with Willard), they screw up all the good of Conservative policies and pave the way for horrid open Democrat leftists.

Imagine if we had avoided the horror of FDR’s Socialism/welfare state (that Hoover paved the way for) with sound economic policy and keeping the notion of personal responsibility. We’d be a vastly different nation today, much further evolved on every level (culturally, economically, socially), and virtually every group would be benefitting.

To think of the damage that leftism has caused over more than a century is staggering, the retardation of growth, of society and its values. How long will it take to undo the damage that keeps getting worse by the day ? Just makes you sick... :-(


50 posted on 10/27/2012 6:04:27 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: Perdogg

Rasmussen Saturday. Romney 50-46. Romney pulls republicans 88-10, democrats 11-86, independents 58-35! Swing state poll Romney 51-45
+++++++++++++++++
Excellent news. I wonder if maybe, just maybe, the Benghazi story is sneaking past the MSM spike and reaching the people.

In any case, the trend is very friendly today.


51 posted on 10/27/2012 6:12:05 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: Perdogg; Impy; AuH2ORepublican; LS; BillyBoy; Clintonfatigued; GOPsterinMA
BTW, just a guess, though if everything breaks Willard's way polling wise, this may be what we end up seeing... (remember, blue is GOP, red is Communist, er, Democrat).

345R-193D EVs.

52 posted on 10/27/2012 6:12:17 AM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: smoothsailing

Last night, Barone was calling BS on the Ohio polls and predicted a Romney win. Of course he was subtle on why he thought all of the Ohio polls were wrong.

Barone is a smart and non-biased guy.


53 posted on 10/27/2012 6:12:22 AM PDT by AdamBomb
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To: Perdogg

I think all this media hype about am electoral/popular vote split is mainstream wishful thinking.


54 posted on 10/27/2012 6:13:18 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: smoothsailing

What gives me confidence more than anything is when you go to leftist sites there is so much chatter about the “mythical Mittmentum.” They think it’s all media hype, that the media wants to give Mitt a boost. Ha!


55 posted on 10/27/2012 6:13:32 AM PDT by The Hound Passer
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To: AdamBomb

I like Barone’s analysis, but look at him with a bit of a jaundiced eye since he announced he endorses sodomites being allowed to change the definition of marriage.


56 posted on 10/27/2012 6:19:43 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Perdogg
The reason Ohio always picks the winner in the presidential race is because Ohio perfectly reflects the nation. If Rasmussen has Romeny up 50/46, the Ohio is 50/46 Romney.

This we're tied business has more to do with keeping the electorate tuning in to news stations. In other words, it's about money.

At least that's my opinion.

57 posted on 10/27/2012 6:21:54 AM PDT by carton253
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To: Perdogg

2.7 = 3 with in the limits of precision

That is, they are pretty much like the rest


58 posted on 10/27/2012 6:22:44 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Is this your official prediction?


59 posted on 10/27/2012 6:24:27 AM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: carton253

I agree...... you are correct in you’re assessment.


60 posted on 10/27/2012 6:26:29 AM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Present failure and impending death yield irrational action))
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