Rasmussen has OH 48-48. If Obama is at 48% on Election Day, that is his ceiling. Obama is failing to break 48 in a lot of the swing states which tells me he is going to lose most if not all of them.
I am concerned about Ohio. Three polls out from there yesterday and Obama lead all three by an average of three points.
Still, Morris is right. If Romney wins the popular vote by 3%+, then enough other states will flip to him that Ohio won’t even matter.