Sam, I’m on the ground here in Ohio and am hosting a volunteer from Texas through the election.Ohio is looking pretty good right now.
Keep in mind that the media cannot report that Ohio has Romney in the lead. If they do then its’ game over a week out. The libs get disappointed and a decision cascade kicks into full gear wherein the Romney numbers get higher and Obama’s get lower. Romney could be up 15 in Ohio and the media will jigger the numbers to give him a one point lead. Ohio is the last brick “standing” in Obama’s firewall. The media will prop it up until 10:00 pm on November 6th. It’s all they have left to keep the race from becoming a foregone conclusion.
I like your assessment of Ohio. I’m dependent on the MSM as I’m “on the ground” in Mitt’s home state, the People’s Republic of Massachusetts.
This is EXACTLY what a second tier pollster told me a week ago. They cannot allow the polls to come anywhere close to showing OH "called," because then ALL of Obama's support crumbles in the remaining states. And who, then, would need a pollster?
BTW, I'm on the ground in Dayton. Same thing. No enthusiasm for Zero. Heavy enthusiasm for Romney and even heavier enthusiasm for getting rid of Zero.
This argument has a lot of merit. It echoes waht happens on election night, when the news programs fight to keep ratings up by not calling key states even as the contest dwindles.