Don’t agree on PA. If you use RealClearPolitics’ map, with 191 currently for Romney, and Romney gets FL, NC, VA, CO, IA, NV and NH, all of which are possible, Romney gets to 269 without OH, PA, WI or MI. I think he does that plus OH, and WI and PA won’t mean a thing.
PS: There is NO WAY Obama can win if he loses PA and OH. You can’t say that for Romney.
The problem is Obama’s support is a mile wide and an inch deep.
No one on his side is enthusiastic about him. The old magic is gone. O is a tired incumbent with nothing fresh to offer.
People have already made up their minds.
Good point. My only nit to pick is in the extent of diehard Obama voter turnout. And there is still a lot of time to influence that, especially as his Libya lies unravel. Failure to protect and defend our nation is certainly not a black/white issue and I see nothing in this that will HELP Obama.
The point I believe is that PA gets called early in the evening, and Romney takes it the game’s about up.
191 plus 29(FL) + 15(NC) + 13(VA) + 9(CO) + 6(NV) + 6(IA) + 4(NH) = 273.
The PA polls close at 8PM. It is one of the first swing states, or marginally swing states, that will be counted.