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Posted on 10/27/2012 9:07:48 PM PDT by Arthurio
This happened in '04 as well...
Coal and Oil voters/workers will not go 0bummer this time...they see their jobs getting destroyed.
We are the crawl over broken glass voters this time.
Romney is up by 5% in Ohio; that is Holder-proof.
Take it to the bank.
Gut feel.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhTof708DeHWdFJFUm1KSTAzMFZaeGJoal9Ob1EwV0E#gid=0
The numbers do not appear to change much before Election Day. While the total # of voters may shift, the winner in OH will probably win by 2/10-3/10 of a percentage point. Right now I have Romney at 50.11% to 49.89% for Obama among 5.5 million votes cast.
He has now teamed up with the NY Times and is the golden standard of the left.
His whole thing is based on state polls which sounds good but the other problem is that he totally doesn't use Rasmussen or Gallup based on argument that the Rasmussen was off by 5% last time and that Gallup isn't that accurate. Both claims I have investigated and found to be wanting.
Thank you...
[ Who is this Nate Silver I keep hearing about and why is his opinion so important? ]
He’s opinion is not important. He is a left-wing hack and Obamabot.
“The data were weighted to correct for potential sampling bias on gender and region of residence for respondents.’”
LOL....yet no attempt to correct for Party imbalance.
We are likely already up 1-2 percent.
Do you know what state he missed?
Indiana
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