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Nate Silver is a saber-metrics guru that correctly predicted the 2008 election 49 out of 50 states. Sounds unbelievable until you actually understand that there were nowhere as many swing states in 2008 so you can throw 44-45 states out where a monkey could have picked him.

He has now teamed up with the NY Times and is the golden standard of the left.

His whole thing is based on state polls which sounds good but the other problem is that he totally doesn't use Rasmussen or Gallup based on argument that the Rasmussen was off by 5% last time and that Gallup isn't that accurate. Both claims I have investigated and found to be wanting.