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Rasmussen still has Obama ahead for 237 EV, Romney for 206, and a toss up for the final 95. Looking just at the toss ups:

Obama leads in NV for for a total of 6 toss up EV with an Obama edge. This would give Obama a total of 243 EV.

Romney leads in CO (+4), NH (+2), VA (+3), and FL (+2), for a total of 55 toss up EV with a Romney edge. This would give Romney a total of 261 EV.

The states of Iowa with 6 EV, Ohio with 18 EV, and Wisconsin with 10 EV are all tied in Rasmussen’s polling and under his turnout model. IA only matters if Romney loses a state in which he is leading by at least 2 points and if Romney wins WI but not OH. If Obama takes both OH and WI, or IA and a surprise state along with WI, we lose. If Romney takes the expected states plus either WI or OH, America has a chance of recovery from this terrible lurch toward socialism.

Rasmussen still has Obama ahead for 237 EV, Romney for 206, and a toss up for the final 95. Looking just at the toss ups:

Obama leads in NV for for a total of 6 toss up EV with an Obama edge. This would give Obama a total of 243 EV.

Romney leads in CO (+4), NH (+2), VA (+3), and FL (+2), for a total of 55 toss up EV with a Romney edge. This would give Romney a total of 261 EV.

The states of Iowa with 6 EV, Ohio with 18 EV, and Wisconsin with 10 EV are all tied in Rasmussen’s polling and under his turnout model. IA only matters if Romney loses a state in which he is leading by at least 2 points and if Romney wins WI but not OH. If Obama takes both OH and WI, or IA and a surprise state along with WI, we lose. If Romney takes the expected states plus either WI or OH, America has a chance of recovery from this terrible lurch toward socialism.

Stop staring at the polls; they’re BS simply because the people like us hang up, don’t put signs in our yards (especially small business owners because we know it costs us business) and we are tired of being called racists, so, we clam up and become a Nov 6th Tsunami...that is the truth and is not in the polls. Romney wins +7 nationally and 325-350 EVs.

Why are you hung up the state polls? If Romney were behind 51-46, then we could play the electoral college game.

But Romney is leading by 3-4-5 points nationally, consistently at 50%. Obama can’t get above 47%.

No candidate has ever garnered 50% and lost the presidency. No candidate has ever won by more than 1% and lost the presidency.