I like the position we are in. So long as our side GOTV, we will have the Obamas packing their bags for an extra-long vacation with plenty of golf and ice-cream cones to lick.
BTW, four years ago, Gallup had McCain closing to within two points of Obama at this point in time. So fear not if this poll tightens up a little more over the next few days. So long as Romney remains at 50% or higher, there is no way for Obama to pull this out.
I'm still nervous, although I always am election time. What bothers me is the disconnect between state and national polls. I highly doubt both of them are right. Ohio isn't more leftist than the country, despite its local issues. The question is which polls are wrong. State or national. If it's state, we're in good shape. If it's national, we're in trouble.
I already voted and I'm going to be one of those evil vote suppressors on election day. Dead people can't vote. People can't vote in two different precincts. Nor can people go to the polls and pretend to be someone else.
I think Romney finishes at 52%.
No. If these numbers were reversed, FR would be full of people saying how full of crap the polls are. Just like now, for example. They love Gallup and Rasmussen but don’t believe the Ohio polls or Virginia or all the other polls that show Romney STILL doesn’t have the EV he needs.
Check the archive here from 2008. McCain was surging and on election day the media would be eating crow. You can mock people here who are concerned all you want but we have the numbers on our side.