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To: FredZarguna

I don’t really buy that and here’s why.
Blacks are 13% of the population and historically a lower percentage of blacks are even registered to vote ... not mention whether they show up at the polls.

2008 was an anomoly of course. Blacks did register in significant enough numbers and did vote in significant enough numbers ... but so did young people who also historically don’t register to vote and don’t vote in high numbers (except in 2008). The additional voters in many groups (blacks, latino, young, even asian) in 2008 offset the traditional impact of women’s vote ... in that year.

But, women still have the largest voting block overall, and especially compared to men.

In 2000, 7.8 million more women voted than men did.
In 2004, 8.8 million more women voted than men did.
In 2008, 10 million more women voted than men did.

Fewer blacks, Hispanics registered to votes (sic)
http://www.star-telegram.com/2012/05/04/3937299/fewer-blacks-hispanics-registered.html


6 posted on 10/29/2012 4:49:54 PM PDT by Lorianne (fedgov, taxporkmoney)
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To: Lorianne

Those are pretty interesting statistics. The real gender gap seems to exist when considering single women vs. married women/men. Do you know anything about how that affects the over all gender gap?


7 posted on 10/29/2012 5:05:31 PM PDT by 3Fingas (Sons and Daughters of Freedom, Committee of Correspondence)
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To: Lorianne
The percentage of blacks who voted in 2008 was 65% of registrants, which was only 5% larger than in 2004. That is not significantly different from the national average.

The gender gap has nothing to do with how many women vote; and that is ALL that your numbers show. It has to do with whether a larger percentage of women vote for Democrats than men. It is largely a myth for the reasons I've given you.

Black females are "ONLY" 13% of the population. In Presidential years, if 60% of them vote (as I just quoted to you and that 60% is very close to the 62.8% participation rate of the national average) then participation is a wash. Next: 90% of them vote for the Democrat, that guarantees a 13 * (.9 - .1) = 13 * 0.8 = 10.4% edge for the Democrat among women only voters. And that is with about 2-3 points of the entire "gender gap."

Please notice whom the Democrats target in their ads: SINGLE women. The largest single identifiable block of single women across ALL age groups is ... black.

In fact, among married women there is a gender gap that typically -- not always, but typically -- favors the GOP.

8 posted on 10/29/2012 5:07:43 PM PDT by FredZarguna (Now, slow response time on FR, yeah, that depresses me...)
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