Silver was a very successful MSNL grinder on partypoker before the UIGEA was passed, he quit playing rather than play on sites that kept allowing deposits in violation of the new law.
Some people don’t seem to understand his forecasting, he isn’t saying that Obama’s hand is 50% better than Romney’s, he’s saying that Obama’s hand will win 75% of the time even though it might only be slightly better (AKs over AQo).
Romney has a very good hand, but Obama has him out kicked (electorally) and he is suited (incumbent) with only one street (week) remaining.
Maybe... but Obama is underwater on the economy, the deficit, taxes and his approval rating. I don’t think he can turn it around in the time that is left.
And with some Blue States turning purple, O’s situation is precarious. All he can do now is hope Romney will snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
I don’t buy that he was as good as he claims. If he was, he would have continued playing brick and mortar games (which usually tend to be easier than online), and he would have at least one or two noteworthy tournament results, and he has none at all.