[paul544]

1992... But we won't let facts get in the way.

From the just released NPR poll. Note the REPUBLICAN pollster involved.
But Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg and Republican pollster Whit Ayres found that Obama leads by 4 points in the 12 battleground states that appear ready to pick the winner for the rest of the country next Tuesday. And they suggest that Romney's post-debate surge has "stalled."

[ScaniaBoy]

There are more ways than one to skew a poll. NPR had +4%D sample, ie oversampling Democrats, but not as much as some other polls. But the poll also oversampled women:

54% women/46% men. That will skew the results.

Can anyone tell me if there ever has been such a skewed gender participation in any national election since women got the right to vote? I would be v..e..r..y surprised if that were the case.

[nhwingut]

1992... But we won't let facts get in the way.

Um, the question was: What incumbent was polling at 47% with a week to go and went on to win?

In 1992, the incumbent was G HW Bush, who lost. Try again.