According to this, Obama will still win the electoral college vote unless Romney gets enough swing states. Among OH, FL, CA, FL, NC, IA and MI, which ones are we confident Romney will win ?
“Among OH, FL, CA, FL, NC, IA and MI, which ones are we confident Romney will win ?”
I assume you mean CO, not CA. Your list is bit odd. For MI to be on there, MN and PA should be as well, and especially NH, NV, and WI should be on the list (and you have FL on twice). The following, from your list, look good for Romney: FL, CO, NC. MI is unlikely. More likely, not on your list, would be WI and NH, then NV or PA, and then MN or MI (if a blow-out).
In a close election, Romney probably needs either OH or WI to win. OH is probably easier to win than WI. An outside possibility would be to win by getting NH + NV + IA, while losing WI and OH, but this isn’t likely.
I’d be surprised if Romney lost Ohio.