Posted on 10/31/2012 7:24:04 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Like I said please step away from the computer, you sound angry, irrational and negative. Also be careful, we don't want you banned before election day.
The fact that it is even close tells how messed up this country really is. If a failed president that obviously doesn’t have the country’s best interest in mind cannot be landslided then how much hope is there for out future? This is the key question IMO.
I’m sticking with a 52-47 (1% other) prediction. The 47% number is very baked in for Obama.
Romney not running as strong as Obama did in 2008. PEOPLE!!! Don’t expect a big blow out here; it’s gonna be close and come down to OH most likely.
A “Sandy” bounce won’t help Mr. Obama. Today or next Tuesday it is all about the same thing - THE ECONOMY!
MOST folks are going to vote based upon the poor state of the economy. MOST of them see Mr. Romney as better able to do something positive about it. Therefore, Mr. Romney will get their votes....it is just that simple.
I am a Social/Moral conservative first of all. However, I recognize my key issues do not resonate with MOST persons this election (IF any do - they are secondary considerations). They are mainly worried about keeping or getting a job....and not one flipping burgers.
Mr. Romney will win....baring something weird happening. Sandy doesn’t count.....it just creates more economic hardship that the voters will see that Mr. Romney is better able to handle.
I’m angry but certainly not irrational. We have possibly the worst president in the history of this country 6 days out from ‘possibly’ being re-elected and you are accusing me of being too negative? Serious? This thing should be a blowout at this point, not a squeeker.
Its all about turnout. Pubbie turnout is going to be huge, even more than 2010, which will make it a landslide for Romney. I predict 53-47 and 330 plus EV’s. We can only be in trouble if turnout is like 2008, and that is extremely unlikely. Vote fraud will be an issue but not enough to overcome the pubbie freight train.
Here is Scott’s commentary. Some hidden good news about CO and WI there:
Approval Index is: -11%
for later
If R wins 7 key states by narrow margins, it's a blowout. If he piles up a big pop vote in the south, midwest, Texas, etc. and wins a close EC vote, but finishes with a 3-4% pop vote margin, that's pretty close to a blowout.
Nobody is factoring in the Is. There is 4% of the vote unaccounted for and if Romney wins 55% of that, he'll end up at about 52% . . . right where I predicted months ago.
You’re wrong.
The electorate is a good deal more polarized than in Reagan’s time.
There enough voters who want Obama around another four years. But they are not in the majority.
People who think it will be like 1980 are dreaming. Ditto for people who think it will be like 2008. It will probably be somewhere in between.
Barring an event larger than a hurricane, I expect Romney to still win and become our 45th President.
Yes I understand but why isn’t Ras picking up on that after all his poll is LIKELY VOTERS. Take a look at that chart from 2008 where Ras had Obama 50/51/52 last week. And he was most accurate. Now look at Romney’s number on that chart; he’s back down to 49 the last three days.
IDK I just think it’s gonna be close...very close.
There was no good Obama day as some have said. It was a small move in the right direction for him. It has sustained for 2 polling cycles so it’s not an anomaly. I honestly think if the Sandy news cycle passes and Obama doesn’t move into the lead, we should consider ourselves lucky because that’s about all that could move votes at this late period.
Time to watch more Dick Morris to start feeling great about our chances again!
It is a fair question, and one that I am sure troubles all conservatives at some level.
No sense stressing over it now though. Instead, lets work as hard as we can to eliminate the need to conduct a post-mortem down the road.
There is still a chance we could win in blowout fashion, but it definitely won’t happen if we get distracted or discouraged. Hang in there for one more week, and lets bring this one home.
I’m with you. The media is ALL POWERFUL (just look who’s in the White House, AND, the American voter is dumb beyond all possible describing (just look who’s in the White House) and yet, all who show nervousness are attacked. The kenyan should be down 20 points, and the fact that he’s not is terrifying.
Yes you’re right. We all know the media is 100 trying to drag Obama’s ass across the finish line, so we’re up against that, also the incumbent is hard to unseat regardless their record.
I think Romney will win but it’s looking close. Not 2000 close but closer than I’d like.
You are 100% correct. If it’s NOT a landslide, it proves the nation is gone forever and the winner doesn’t even matter. How could it NOT be a landslide under the circumstances? Well, if the country is over, that’s how it’s not a landslide.
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