Posted on 10/31/2012 9:48:30 AM PDT by Arthurio
WASHINGTON, Oct. 31 (UPI) -- U.S. President Obama and Republican rival Mitt Romney were in a dead heat six days ahead of Election Day, a United Press International poll indicated.
Obama and Romney each were preferred by 48 percent of likely voters, the UPI-CVoter opinion poll released Wednesday indicated.
Romney picked up a percentage point this week to tie Obama, results indicated. Obama led Romney by as many as 3 percentage points soon after the third presidential debate Oct. 16, but saw his lead fall to a single point Monday.
Read more: http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2012/10/31/UPI-Poll-Obama-Romney-tied/UPI-32441351696534/#ixzz2AtblHJlj
(Excerpt) Read more at upi.com ...
Obama lost his lead! That’s BIG news!
There is no upside for him in the closing days of this election.
Cheers
Internals?
Obama cannot get above 47-48, and I doubt he really has 48-—probably on the high side MOE.
= Romney up 5.
Tied at 48% each, but MoE is 4.5%. Didn’t see any info on split. Registered voters.
One can read anything into this poll that one likes...
The Dems rallying cry: Bring out our dead!
Every last Republican and/or conservative needs to vote this time around. It will count.
A CATI SURVEY OF AMERICAN GENERAL POPULATION (18+ ADULTS)
Each week rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 1000 registered voters. Results for this release are based on seven day rolling sample size of registered voters for general questions and LV (Likely Voters) for candidate support question. The candidate support figures are result of the question “Who will you vote for if the presidential election were held today?” and “How likely are you to vote? Would you say “Yes, for sure” or “May be, but I am unsure at the moment” or you are sure not to vote at all”. These questions were asked to all registered voters and analysed after screening only for the respondents who confirmed that they will vote or showed likeliness to vote in the coming elections. Those respondents who are confirmed to vote but undecided on which candidate to support are analyzed as undecided. Data is weighted to known census profile and margin of error is +/- 3.5 for the total sample at the 95% confidence level and margin of error for likely voters is +/-4.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. Data weighted to the known demographic profile. The tables may add up to 99.9% or 100.1% due to rounding up of data by computer.
Most all polls that are showing any movement at all are showing movement towards Romney.
Avoid a “hurricane bounce” and this election is still Romney’s to lose.
Internals are “hidden”:
“Data is weighted to known census profile”
Slide #10 - http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2012/10/31/UPI-Poll-Obama-Romney-tied/UPI-32441351696534/poll-data
Ping
In my neck of the woods we’re on it like butter on a biscuit. Energized to the max. But, or course, we’re a red state and the dems don’t count us in their number!
Do you have the D/R/I breakdown for the poll?
“Internals?”
D 39 - R 24 - I 11 - Green 8 - communist 13 - Labour 5 -
We knew that the communist thug would sweep a whole lot of previously republican states against McCain. We knew that Bush would defeat Kerry. We knew that Bush/Gore would be a squeaker. We knew that Clinton's sleaze could not stop his charm from winning over the weak-willed. This time, most of us have an idea on what will happen, but there is a whole lot more uncertainty than ever before, and not just with regard to the scope of fraud by the far left.
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