So basically, every poll in the few days before the election has showed the Democrat winning since the 1980 elections, regardless of who actually won. And so anyone saying Obama is winning among polls favoring Democrats by +10 are not being accurate in the slightest. True ? I sure hope so !
Any poll that has a +10D is DOA.
Well, not exactly. It very much depends on the polling service. Rasmussen didn’t exist back in the Reagan days, and if you look at their history they tend to be the most accurate. They say Romney is about tied or ahead in Ohio and in the swing states, so that is the cause of my optimism. Were that not the case, I would not be nearly as optimistic.
Most pollsters tend to be crap so are worthy of being ignored. Rasmussen is not of this sort. They seem to have better methodology and hence better results. It is rather amusing that Democrats tend to ignore this evidence, but hey, they love the kool aide.