Rasmussen had Indies leaning towards Obama in the last poll too. So not a big change.
Rasmussen and Time Mag poll are the only two Ohio polls (out of 20) showing Obama up with Indies.
Not sure if it’s Rasmussen’s likely voter screen. Hard to tell.
Bottomline. It’s a close race. I am relying on what I heard from Bill Cunningham on Hannity’s show yesterday. He guaranteed a Romney win in Ohio. He predicted the opposite in 2008.
Romney would be ahead by at least 3 if Rasmussen has more Rs in his Ohio model than Ds and he shows Romney tied with Obama among Indys. Rasmussen can’t show Romney putting away Ohio so he’s fudging the independent vote.
In 2008, per CNN the final exits were
D+8 (39/31/30)
For Obama, Dem 89-10 Rep 8-92 and Ind 52-44. If this poll is be believed, Obama is in trouble.
Bottomline. It’s a close race. I am relying on what I heard from Bill Cunningham on Hannity’s show yesterday. He guaranteed a Romney win in Ohio. He predicted the opposite in 2008.
Heard the same comments. Lets hope his on the ground read is the right one.
Also, will be interesting to see if the projected 50,000 person turnout for a Romney event comes true