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To: Lacey2
"Anytime a pollster makes his final call within the MOE (whether true or not) they stand little chance of being discredited. Perhaps I’m wrong."

You're wrong.

"(After his ridiculous 311EV call for Kerry in 2004...) While admitting that he was mistaken, Zogby did not admit any possible flaws in his polling methods, insisting that his predictions were all within the margin of error. While on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart, he said he felt that Kerry would win due to the undecided voters. Despite his personal prediction, Zogby's final poll showed Bush with a one point lead over Kerry. Zogby later released a "Mea culpa" in which he stated "I will do better next time: I will just poll, not predict."

"It sure wouldn’t be the first time and won’t be the last."

Ok.

77 posted on 11/04/2012 9:33:09 AM PST by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NH = 285EV)
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To: StAnDeliver

So how do you square his one point margin for Bush with his 311 electoral vote prediction for Kerry without agreeing with me?

I was referring to the top line call and you simply have proven my point.


79 posted on 11/04/2012 9:40:26 AM PST by Lacey2
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