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1 posted on 11/04/2012 6:56:03 AM PST by COUNTrecount
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To: COUNTrecount
and in Massachusetts I believe that Scott Brown will win his Senate race because many people will vote for him for Senate but will vote for Obama for president (because Elizabeth Warren is a much worse candidate than Martha Coakley was so I can’t understand how she’d win while Coakley lost when Brown has done nothing to alienate his 2010 voters and Coakley has done little to steal those people away from Brown).

I'd like to believe you're right about Scott Brown, but here are the weak points:

1. The Democrats never thought they'd ever lose the "Kennedy Seat", so they didn't take his candidacy seriously enough in 2008. They'll do anything to get this seat back (hence millions in out of state donations).

2. Scott Brown remains extremely popular, with a favorability rating that usually guarantees reelection, but the argument that appears to be working for the democrats is that this is the seat that could give republicans control of the senate. I heard on a radio talk show last week a caller actually say that they would vote for Brown if he had a "D" after his name, but are concerned about the republicans getting the senate.

Union members have been threatened with fines if they don't vote Warren. The hope is that many union members pretend they will vote for Warren, but when they get in the booth will vote for Brown. This would not be unprecedented. In 2008, union members holding signs for Coakley came up to Brown and told him that they were getting paid to hold the signs, but would be voting for him.

Bottom line is that the polls would have to be way wrong for Brown to get re-elected.

29 posted on 11/04/2012 7:58:31 AM PST by BlatherNaut
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To: COUNTrecount

If DuJan’s prediction pans out, the next thing - right beside clearing Obama’s national trainwreck - must be to see to it that these people *never* become a threat again. If that means locking them up, so be it.


31 posted on 11/04/2012 8:03:33 AM PST by Hardraade (http://junipersec.wordpress.com (I will fear no muslim))
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To: COUNTrecount

Pelosi rammed BOcare in March 2010, not May.


38 posted on 11/04/2012 8:20:01 AM PST by mwl8787
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To: COUNTrecount

I can’t read anything from Hillbuzz with a straight face since 2008 when the ‘Millions of PUMAs’ will win the ection for McCain schtick.
They always seem quite extreme and out there...


40 posted on 11/04/2012 8:39:29 AM PST by JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
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To: COUNTrecount; Liz; Travis McGee

I hope and pray that you are correct.

However, if this happens, we will probably see an out of control Obozo and his thugs in DC until Romney and the new congress is sworn in.

If Obozo loses big time, after he pardons all of his fellow criminals/traitors, he would issues thousands of executive orders to weaken our country even more.

Then, Obozo will resign as president the day before Romney is sworn in: .

1. When he resigns, John Roberts will swear in Biden as President.
2. Then, Biden will pardon Obozo and his cabinet members of all possible federal crimes/misdeeds like Ford pardoned Nixon. Biden will become the automatic pardon machine for the remaining rats in congress and in DC not pardoned by the former President, Obozo.

http://search.comcast.net/?cat=web&con=betac&form_submit=1&q=President+Ford+pardons+Nixon&top_SearchSubmit=

This might be the best outcome and one more reason to defeat the traitor with massive vote %’s for Romney/Ryan next Tuesday after Obozo and Biden clear their rat buddies out of DC with their wide spread pardons.


41 posted on 11/04/2012 8:49:51 AM PST by Grampa Dave (We are the 53%, who pay taxes and keep this country going inspite of the 47% rat moochers!)
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To: COUNTrecount
I suspect that this will be just like 2000, with a RINO in the White House and "Republicans" nominally in control of the Senate. At best, conservatives will be facing a RINO/Crat majority. However much better such an outcome is than the alternative, it will be very difficult to get anything substantive done and conservatives will get the blame.

I wish I could see something different, but I don't expect much with Romney "reaching across the aisle."

42 posted on 11/04/2012 8:52:14 AM PST by Carry_Okie (Islam offers us choices: convert or kill, submit or die.)
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To: COUNTrecount

I think we’ll gain 3-5 seats in the house-—IA, for ex., has a surprise, and I think Tsei in MA will win.


43 posted on 11/04/2012 8:52:57 AM PST by LS
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To: COUNTrecount
I sure hope this is correct. Whatever happens in the election, we will still have a lot of work cut out for us. Keeping the politicians in line, and upholdding the Constitution.

Let’s roll!

46 posted on 11/04/2012 9:09:15 AM PST by cvq3842 (Thanks for all responses, and flames, in advance.)
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To: COUNTrecount

God’s mercy is greater than all of our sin. Thank you Jesus for your love and goodness. Thanks for once more raising our country up to once again to be a light of freedom and a spiritual light of God’s grace to the world.


50 posted on 11/04/2012 10:10:49 AM PST by PapaNew
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To: COUNTrecount
I 100% believe all of the polls are being manipulated purposefully by pollsters to give Barack Obama a psychological advantage in this election.

Now, that will be interesting to witness. I've been thinking "how in hell can America get it wrong again by re-electing the Obama moron"? That would be so un-American if that happened.

52 posted on 11/04/2012 10:47:43 AM PST by unique1
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To: COUNTrecount

2008 RESULTS

Barack Obama
Electoral vote 365
States carried 28 + DC + NE-02
Popular vote 69,456,897[2]
Percentage 52.9%[2]

John McCain
Electoral vote 173
States carried 22
Popular vote 59,934,814[2]
Percentage 45.7%[2]

2008 PREDICTIONS

Karl Rove
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200

Matthew Dowd, former Bush strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 250 Democrats 185 Republicans

George Will, conservative columnist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 378 McCain 160
Senate Seats: 57 Democrats 41 Republicans
House Seats: 254 Democrats 181 Republicans

Donna Brazile, Democratic strategist
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 343
Senate Seats: 59 Democrats 39 Republicans
House Seats: 262 Democrats 173 Republicans

George Stephanopoulos, ABC News anchor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 353 McCain 185
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats (59 if there’s a run-off in Georgia) Republicans 40
House Seats: Democrats 264 Republicans 171

Mark Halperin, Time editor
Winner: Obama
Electoral College: Obama 349 McCain 189
Senate Seats: 58 Democrats 40 Republicans
House Seats: 261 Democrats 174 Republicans


56 posted on 11/04/2012 12:18:41 PM PST by Jeff Chandler (Soebarkah Soetoro)
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To: COUNTrecount

Mitt gets at least 296 Ev’s

http://asspos.blogspot.com/2012/11/election-prediction-victors-of.html


61 posted on 11/04/2012 2:11:14 PM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: COUNTrecount

Thanks for this thread.


62 posted on 11/04/2012 2:27:49 PM PST by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: COUNTrecount

Thanks for this thread.


64 posted on 11/04/2012 2:31:18 PM PST by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
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To: COUNTrecount
Connecticut = Republican surprise win
Very conceivable. Wrestling is fake, but Linda McMahon runs the WWE as a business, and a very successful one at that For her to make it what it is, takes lots of wherewithal and business expertise. She would certainly have my vote if I lived in CT.
66 posted on 11/04/2012 4:59:01 PM PST by Impala64ssa (You call me an islamophobe like it's a bad thing.)
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To: COUNTrecount

I got back here a few tens of minutes ago, after knocking on doors here in Central NYState for Ann Marie Buerkle (ACU=100% rating). I was in a pretty Dem-leaning area “to help cut their advantage”, so I have nothing wonderful to report from my contacts there.

What I DO have to report that is great is the atmosphere in her call center. ALL phones were manned when I left there this evening, just as they were BY TEA PARTY folk and YOUNG voters in 2010.

She is in a tough race, a rematch with the Congressman (Maffei) who she beat in 2010. Win or lose, I can report that we Tea Party folk are indeed an activist organization now, and have not at all gone away, despite anything the Dinosaur Media tries to maintain.

I’ll be in a different area tomorrow, and out on the street being human billboard all day on Tuesday. I am not the only one putting in this type of time and energy.


68 posted on 11/04/2012 6:12:33 PM PST by AFPhys ((Praying for our troops, our citizens, that the Bible and Freedom become basis of the US law again))
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To: COUNTrecount

One thing I don’t understand. Why would we want Nate Silver’s career to collapse if he (like all the other aggregators, most voters and news organizations) is merely duped into reporting well on the numbers you say pollsters are manipulating? Why is what Silver’s doing any worse than what CNN or Fox does when they report a headlining poll that shows Obama in the lead?

I would want Silver’s career to collapse *if* his model were grossly inaccurate, beyond fixing or *if* he were manipulating that model. But according to this write up, it’s the pollsters that are lying and he is just faithfully analyzing their bullshit.

>> all of the polls are being manipulated purposefully by pollsters to give Barack Obama a psychological advantage in this election. . . Since this is the first time in American political history when they’ve ever done anything like this, I think that a lot of people have not picked up on the fact that there is not a single reputable polling outfit left


69 posted on 11/04/2012 6:24:47 PM PST by DeadPeasant (Nate Silver obsession)
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To: COUNTrecount

I bought my Sam Adams Winter Lager and peanuts over the weekend, so I am ready for Tuesday night. ;-)


70 posted on 11/04/2012 7:07:31 PM PST by Stonewall Jackson ( "I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy.")
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To: COUNTrecount
I really think Debbie Wasserman Schultz loses her seat in Congress because of how poorly she’s looked in everything she’s done in the high profile position Democrats gave her. She’s too affiliated with Obama not to lose, because I can’t imagine people voting for Romney in Florida and then vote-splitting to vote for DWS too. Nancy Pelosi will be ousted as Minority Leader in the next Congress and will retire some time in early 2013. A special election will have to be held to replace her. Pelosi is not going to spend her last years as a former Speaker who has no power and is just another member of the herd. So expect her to be moving back to San Francisco for good around the same time the Obamas are moving to Hawaii.

Long article but well worth the read. I am very hopeful that the writer is 100% correct in his predictions. The above two examples were my favorites! Thank you.

72 posted on 11/04/2012 11:18:50 PM PST by boatbums (God is ready to assume full responsibility for the life wholly yielded to Him.)
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To: COUNTrecount

I think the media showing it a ‘close race’ will actually cause MORE Democrats to vote for Romney. The prospect of another four years of 0bama is going to scare the sh!t out of them. I think 0bama was right about ‘revenge’. They’ll take revenge against 0bama for forcing them to rebuild the party he’s destroyed.


73 posted on 11/04/2012 11:37:41 PM PST by Obama_Is_Sabotaging_America
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