GOP keep: AZ, IN, MA, NV; GOP lose: ME
DEM keep: MI, MN, NJ, NM; DEM lose: CT, FL, HI, MO, MT, ND, NE, OH, PA, WI, VA
GOP Net 10
I’d say CT, HI and MA are 50-50 b/c they require ticket-splitting in a “wave election,” with HI only getting to 50-50 b/c the call of the Presidential will depress DEM turnout in that state
NM - I’d add GOP potential in both Pres and Sen hurt by strong third choices
GOP Net 7 to 10
I wish you were right, but your prediction frankly is nuts. We’ll be lucky to gain 2 or 3 seats in the Senate, much less 10.