[apillar]

Ignore the exit polls, they are taken between 11:00AM and 2:00PM so they favor democrats, because evening voters coming home from work tend to be Republican. The exit polls showed Kerry winning handily in 2004, needless to say that didn’t happen.

[Cato in PA]

Makes sense to me. Senior citizens are likely to vote early, and working adults are likely to vote late.

[tanknetter]

Ignore the exit polls, they are taken between 11:00AM and 2:00PM so they favor democrats, because evening voters coming home from work tend to be Republican. The exit polls showed Kerry winning handily in 2004, needless to say that didn’t happen.

Yes, exactly. However some indication of how a race is going to go can be extrapolated by comparing the early exits to the final results for past elections, then applying the delta. It's not precise, but it'll show trending ok.

We need to have that sort of comparative analysis to draw any sort of conclusion here.