O.K. lets parse it out
there were 5,721,837 total Ohio votes in 2008 and 5,333,936 total votes in 2012, for a reduced voter turnout of 387,901
in 2008 McCain got 2,677,820 (46.8%)
and Obama got 3,044,017 [(2,677,820/.468) = 5,721,837 * .532 = 3,044,017]
in 2012 Romney got 2,661,364 votes
[(2,672,302/50.1)= 5,333,396 * .499 = 2,661,364]
to Obama’s 2,672,302
YET IT WAS TO 49.9% in a low turn out year to McCains 46.8%
the good part is Romney got a higher % of the vote,
but something about Ohio is so blue?? that Obama could lose 371,715 votes and still win
he lost 371,715 votes, reducing his margin to 50.1% from 53.2% last time
Romney lost 16,456 votes below McCain, but raised the GOP %
total lower turnout - 387,901
less votes for Obama - 371,715
less votes GOP - 16,456
which means third party gained 279 votes
real lesson here
Ohio IS (or at least has been) a very blue state.
So what kept 95% of the low turnout to be low turnout for Obama, compared to last time, but NOT translate any of it into GOP votes; which is what I think GOP pollsters were thinking.
But Fraud on the scale of 300K plus I think would be hard to find. One would think lower trrnout would not be so lopsided, and that would actually mean an even lower vote for Romney.
Something is just weird - to me - about the Ohio electotrate.
I go with fraud. Isn’t Ohio the state that updated uncertified software into a lot of voting machines.
Publish the code used in all the machines. In each machine. In Florida and in Ohio.
And what happened in Virginia with people showing up to vote and learning they had already voted?