Skip to comments.Don't Blame Romney
Posted on 11/08/2012 4:53:04 AM PST by Kaslin
We spent billions of dollars and billions of words on an election to switch from President Obama, a Democratic Senate and a Republican House to President Obama, a Democratic Senate and a Republican House.
Every election predictor was wrong, except one: Incumbents usually win.
Republicans have taken out a sitting president only once in the last century, and that was in 1980 when Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter. Sadly, Reagan's record remains secure.
The Democrats ran up against the incumbency problem in 2004. The landslide election for Democrats in 2006 suggests that Americans were not thrilled with Republicans around the middle of the last decade. And yet in 2004, President George W. Bush beat John Kerry more handily than Obama edged past Romney this week.
Democratic candidate John Kerry won 8 million more votes than Al Gore did in 2000, and he still couldn't win. All the Democrats' money, media, Bush Derangement Syndrome and even a demoralized conservative base couldn't trump the power of incumbency in 2004.
After supporting Mitt Romney in 2008, some of you may recall, I ran off with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie midway through Obama's first term for precisely that reason: The near-impossibility of beating an incumbent president. Christie seemed like the kind of once-in-a-lifetime star who could pull a Reagan upset against an incumbent president.
But I was wrong. Romney was the perfect candidate, and he was the president this country needed right now. It's less disheartening that a president who wrecked American health care, quadrupled gas prices, added $6 trillion to the national debt and gave us an 8 percent unemployment rate can squeak out re-election than that America will never have Romney as our president.
Indeed, Romney is one of the best presidential candidates the Republicans have ever fielded. Blaming the candidate may be fun, but it's delusional and won't help us avoid making the same mistakes in the future.
Part of the reason incumbents win is that they aren't forced to spend half the election year being battered in primaries. Obama started running anti-Romney ads in Ohio before the Republican primaries were even over. Noticeably, Romney's negatives were sky-high in Ohio, but not in demographically similar states like Pennsylvania.
One of Obama's first acts in office was to bail out the auto industry to help him in states he'd need in the upper Midwest, such as Michigan and Ohio. He visited Ohio nearly 50 times, while not visiting lots of other states even once. Obama was working Ohio from the moment he became president. Meanwhile, Romney didn't wrap up the primaries until the end of May.
A little less time beating up our candidate in the primaries so that he could have started campaigning earlier would have helped. In this regard, please remember that no mere House member is ever going to be elected president. Most of them harm their political careers by running. (Where's Thaddeus McCotter these days? Michele Bachmann is fighting for her political life.)
Please stop running. You're distracting us from settling on an actual nominee.
No one can be blamed for the hurricane that took the news off the election, abruptly halting Romney's momentum, but Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock can be blamed on two very specific people: Todd Akin and Richard Mourdock.
The last two weeks of the campaign were consumed with discussions of women's "reproductive rights," not because of anything Romney did, but because these two idiots decided to come out against abortion in the case of rape and incest.
After all the hard work intelligent pro-lifers have done in changing the public's mind about a subject the public would rather not think about at all, these purist grandstanders came along and announced insane positions with no practical purpose whatsoever, other than showing off.
While pro-lifers in the trenches have been pushing the abortion positions where 90 percent of the country agrees with us -- such as bans on partial birth abortion, and parental and spousal notification laws -- Akin and Mourdock decided to leap straight to the other end of the spectrum and argue for abortion positions that less than 1 percent of the nation agrees with.
In order to be pro-life badasses, they gave up two easy-win Republican Senate seats.
No law is ever going to require a woman to bear the child of her rapist. Yes, it's every bit as much a life as an unborn child that is not the product of rape. But sentient human beings are capable of drawing gradations along a line.
Just because I need iron to live doesn't mean I have to accept 100,000 milligrams, which will kill me. If we give the guy who passed bad checks a prison furlough, that doesn't mean we have to give one to Willie Horton. I like a tablespoon of sugar in my coffee, but not a pound.
The overwhelming majority of people -- including me -- are going to say the law shouldn't force someone who has been raped to carry the child. On the other hand, abortion should be illegal in most other cases.
Is that so hard for Republicans to say?
Purist conservatives are like idiot hipsters who can't like a band that's popular. They believe that a group with any kind of a following can't be a good band, just as show-off social conservatives consider it a mark of integrity that their candidates -- Akin, Mourdock, Sharron Angle, Christine O'Donnell -- take wildly unpopular positions and lose elections.
It was the same thing with purist libertarian Barry Goldwater, who -- as you will read in my book, "Mugged: Racial Demagoguery From the Seventies to Obama" -- nearly destroyed the Republican Party with his pointless pursuit of libertarian perfection in his vote against the 1964 Civil Rights Act.
I like a band that sells NO albums because it proves they have too much integrity to sell out.
We have a country to save. And just as the laws of elections generally mean the incumbent president wins, they also mean the party out of the White House typically stages a big comeback in midterm elections. BIG. Don't blow it with purist showoffs next time, Republicans.
Romney is a Rino but he would have been good for the country. We need a positive figurehead. Honor, dignity and class in the WH. Romney/Ryan would have given us that. We simply need someone who loves this country and for 4 more years, we don’t.
Anne Coulter just another Rino, not a conservative...
Anne, your hairdo is as hideous as your facelift and weird, fact tan.
BUT, she makes some good points here. Republicans need to get smarter in order to start WINNING. Conservatives, well, we need to get less stupid as well.
You see, the Democrats had a long term strategy. They did what it took to WIN, and now that they have done so for some time, they can tack hard left, and get what they wanted all along.
They dont call Republicans the Stupid party for nothin..
Well she’s right.
Did anyone think those positions were defendable?
“Anne, your hairdo is as hideous as your facelift and weird, fact tan.”
But is she wrong?
What does Anne Coulter’s hairdo have to do with the article? *rme*
Exactly. I wasn't a fan of Romney's and was disappointed that he won the nomination, until I saw that first debate. He shined there and 0boober was shown for the empty suit he is. Lerher did what a moderator should and let the candidates go at it. Romney should have capitalized on that going forward. Instead he left important things like Libya on the table. But to my original point, as the campaign entered the fall season, Romney looked more presidential and Husein looked more like the punk he is. Sadly, we don't have the electorate we had in 1980. That WWII generation is almost gone.
I am going to accept the notion that, because we don’t appeal to ethnic minorities, we can’t win. We had good candidates and great issues, and lost anyway. The Democrats corral the ethnic minorities. That’s why the Democrats continually call us racist, ironically. They want to scare the ethnic groups.
This is a Conservation site not Republican.
Obama's turnout dropped, what, eight million votes? And what was Romney's turnout? Lower than McCain's in 2008.
He did not appeal to many evangelicals. He had lukewarm at best appeal to Tea Partiers, many of whom held still their nose and voted for him - but many folks otherwise drawn to the Tea Party movement did not. He had minimal crossover appeal - he never came across as a guy who could understand what middle America is going through.
He never stated a clear, principled reason why he should win, other than he wasn't Obama. And to beat the incumbent, you have to do just that, as Reagan did in 1980. In other words, he failed to win over millions of disaffected Obama voters - they simply did not vote for president.
Mitt's fault. A terrible candidate in a winnable, Jimmah Carter kind of election.
The loss is because of Mr. Romney and no one else.
He made a sterling VP choice, but hid most of the time.
HID, but protected by his wife.
When he happened to espouse a conservative position,
his likeability ROSE, but then he sat back again.
OTOH, Mr. Romney and Rove made a large fraction of
a billion dollars for themselves, so they are quite
happy with the result, and would be delighted to do it
What a crock.
We need to take over the GOP, and take it away from such stupid people.
“The Democrats corral the ethnic minorities.”
The Media corrals the ethnic minorities.
I wasn’t a huge romney fan. a little too moderate for me. BUT....I think he did a very good, very mature job of running for president. he was positive and knowledgable and inclusive. His VP choice was awesome. I don’t think we can blame this loss on romney.
we have to accept the fact that half of americans believe in voting themselves money...from the welfare rats to the unions. How can he fight that? not with a message of personal responsibility.
Ann Coulter is wrong, Bill O’Reilly is right. Mitt Romney lost this election with his “run out the clock” strategy.
He refused to engage on Benghazi. He refused to let Ryan discuss the budget, the same Ryan he was praised for having picked because that meant the budget would be on the table.
He would not confront conservatives about their anti-Hispanic rhetoric.
He shut down the discussion of ObamaCare, the issue that gave rise to the raging 2010 election Tea Party.
Ann Coulter’s explanation of “incumbency” is simply weak spin. I wonder if she’s smacked the “love of her life” for cheating on her with Obama?
Beyond all of this, Ann Coulter has left her God on the sidelines, as will all republicans who succumb to the notion that the political world is secular and their spiritual world view should not seriously inform their politics.
Above all else, to even say that we should set aside our spiritual world view is to affirm that Spirit is not real.
Most of the tens of millions of citizens of this nation get their “News” and from the Entertainment Industry in one form or another; and that media are controlled by the Progressive Liberals. If your only input is from the MEDIA controlled by the Progressive Liberals, that is what determines your intellectual criteria. Conservative Blogs and Fox are the exceptions and only inform a few million citizens. Romney did very well given the wholesale Media attacks, even got a few newspapers to change endorsements from 2008.
“we have to accept the fact that half of americans believe in voting themselves money...from the welfare rats to the unions. How can he fight that? not with a message of personal responsibility.”
Personal responsibility grabbed almost 50% of the vote, so I wouldn’t concede that point to the Left.
These turnout models of 08 and 12 are Obama-centric in my opinion, which is why 10 can be repeated in 14.
I seriously doubt that a non-obama democrat running in 16 (named O’Mally, Clinton or Cuomo for example) will bring in the black, hispanic and youth votes to the degree the Obamunist did.