Skip to comments.How Conservatives Can Win in Blue-State America: Lessons from South Africa's Opposition
Posted on 11/11/2012 1:18:43 PM PST by Tolerance Sucks Rocks
The new conventional wisdom in the aftermath of the 2012 elections is that Republicans face two challenges: first, that the United States is no longer a center-right nation, but a center-left one; second, that the countrys demographic shift away from whites will make it tougher for Republicans to win votes. The proposed solution is that Republicans must compromise on the partys core policies, from immigration to taxation to social issues. The conventional wisdom is wrong.
I once worked in South Africa for a centrist party, the Democratic Alliance, which faced the same challenges as Republicans do, only far more extreme. Though it had opposed apartheid, its leadership was predominantly white, in a country that is nearly 80% black. Moreover, it supported free-market economic policies in a country whose political culture is dominated by socialist and nationalist ideologies.
The party had worked its way up from receiving less than 2% of the vote in 1994 to just over 12% in 2004. It had become the leading opposition party, but seemed to have hit a ceiling. If it could not grow, it would die. How could it broaden its appeal to black voters without losing its core constituency of white voters? And how could it advocate for the free market when large portions of the electorate demanded massive redistribution?
I joined the team that helped elect Helen Zille mayor of Cape Town in 2006 (she is now the premier, or governor, of the whole Western Cape province). It was the first time an opposition party unseated the dominant African National Congress, and the first time a white politician was chosen by a predominantly black electorate in post-apartheid South Africa.
Our success could offer lessons for the Republican Party as it seeks to refocus.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Excellent post, good ideas.
Yes, very good ideas that don’t sell out conservatism.
Here are the main points which the author covers:
Do not compromise basic principles; instead, show how they are relevant to all.
Take the fight to the oppositions turf.
Highlight candidates from minority groups.
Dont forget core white voters.
Develop clear policy alternatives.
Use coalition politics to cobble together a winning team.
Pursue incremental changes, not sweeping ones.
Create flagships of policy success.
Organize by drilling activists in the basics.
Prepare for the politics of the long haul.
First, let’s get rid of the blatant massive vote fraud that seemingly is ignored by “authorities”.
Good advice, BUT:
“first, that the United States is no longer a center-right nation, but a center-left one;”
Wrong conclusion. Poll after poll, including exit polls, indicate Americans want a smaller, less intrusive government - not the reverse, that they oppose abortion on principle and that they support Constitutional Rights - all of them.
Romney was a poor candidate who made major mistakes and THAT is the reason he lost. Obama succeeded in making the race about Romney and his background and actions and NOT about Obama’s performance and flawed principles.
Besides, the GOP leadership, morally bankrupt from a political philosophy perspective, is incapable of following the advice offered here which is wise advice.
We need either a new political party or to dismantle all the GOP leadership - a party purge starting with that gutless imbecile John Boehner.
With a billion dollar ad campaign calling her a whore the Rats could convince the majority in this country that *Mother Teresa* was Satan's evil twin.
Actually, it was the false caricature of Romney sold to the sheeple by their allies in the media. Until we discredit the American media and stop allowing them to control the message by getting so many voters to respond to their lies like trained seals in an aquarium show, it will matter less who we run than who is most capable of reaching the sheeple through their smokescreen.
Romney was a good and decent man, generous with his own time and money. More charitable on his worst day than BO or Biden will ever be on their best day. Yet the media sold the sheeple the exact opposite image and the masses bought the lies wholesale.
Romney's political views were too liberal for me, but from a personal point of view, he was decent, generous, kind and good and overshadowed Obama in all of these qualities plus competence as well. We offered them exactly the moderate, centrist type of candidate they recommended we should offer and they demonized him just as much as they would have demonized a more conservative candidate.
Requirement #1 for future standard bearers should be the ability to talk over the media smokescreen.
The replacement generations are not as large and all things being equal, both Democrat and Republican voting populations should decline ~ and, lo and behold, they just did .
The Republicans need do nothing but aggressive registration and get out the Republican vote campaigns and they can virtually destroy the left in this country ~ including the Democrats.
That probably oughta' happened this year while the Democrats had their weakest candidate in a couple of centuries, but somebody decided a guy who usually commands a rousing 20% of the Republican electorate needed to face him.
I've never understood by we need to be polite to the opposition in an election for the future of the nation.
. . . and rule 0: Nominate a candidate for POTUS for whom all of the above is second nature.
- Do not compromise basic principles; instead, show how they are relevant to all.
- Take the fight to the oppositions turf.
- Highlight candidates from minority groups.
- Dont forget core white voters.
- Develop clear policy alternatives.
- Use coalition politics to cobble together a winning team.
- Pursue incremental changes, not sweeping ones.
- Create flagships of policy success.
- Organize by drilling activists in the basics.
- Prepare for the politics of the long haul.
If you cant do that, at least spare us the insult of running someone who holds core voters in contempt, like John McCain, or who opposed Reagan, like Romney.
I am always dumbfounded and surprised when people just regurgitate MSM talking points back to me. I mean, I’ve learned to just tune the nonsense out or not even listen to it at all, but it’s jarring to me how many people just take it at face value. Quite disturbing, actually.
Bookmark and bump, for an excellent article.
The Democratic Alliance logo (picture at link) looks almost exactly like BO’s logo.
Everything you said about Romney was true.
But he made some serious mistakes.
His comments about the 47% of Americans who are economic parasites, and his statement about liking to fire people.
Also, his choice of Paul Ryan, another good decent intelligent man, was a poor one, given the circumstances. He should have selected Marco Rubio and if the GOP is smart (it isn’t) they will run Rubio in 2016 and start building up his image now.
The whole point of my post is that the problem was NOT with our political philosophy. Its with our lack of political finesse in dealing with a massive biased media and really effective political machine.
I would add one thing: develop a communications sttrategy to work around the main stream media. The main stream media has become a full-blown propaganda complex for the DemonRAT Party. The coordination of talking points, placing of damaging questions, gotchas, setups in the debates, Podesta’s Center for American Progress, Media Matters, and George Soros are killing us.
Indeed, we know that every time we let Lindsay Graham tell us to accept amnesty and shut the gate, the dims will up the ante with “no shutting the gate”. It’s always like that with homosexualist policies: one political rock of promise leads to domino effect to the next. The result is tolerance of radicals and Hitlers like Obama. It’s only going to get worse if we do not keep the faith in conservatism. And liberals will have to grow up and not say “unthinkable” or “death wish” when it comes to abortion and drug issues.
Stunning, isn’t it? I have a tech vendor that is a great guy and pretty smart. My jaw hit the ground when he told me he didn’t vote for Romney “ because of what Ryan said about rape.” WTH?
Only if that smaller government includes state bloc grants, Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, and unemployment insurance. People can claim they're for smaller government, while still desiring all the benefits of big government, and voting against anyone who they see as threatening those benefits. Just look at those reddest-of-red plains states who vitriolically attack anyone who brings up cutting farm subsidies.
The only poll that matters was the one we had last Tuesday and those results were decidedly different.
Very good ideas, especially from someone who has been in the precarious position we are now...and was able to create a win.
Did you even read the article? The author SAYS that the idea of the nation being “center-left” is the wrong conclusion.
Thanks very much for this ping, sweetie!
Dump our adherence to the Marquess of Queensberry rules when facing IED users.
Hire the Hells Angels as poll watchers in Philly.
Its Called the Tea Party.
Like you said my Dear Onyx, Our huge 2010 WIN is owed to OUR TEA PARTY.
Romney ran AWAY from OUR TEA PARTY!
So like I have said, Willard, The GOP-E and all the Other feckless Morons, both left and right, can either stand by our side or be crushed under our heel, but they will NOT stand in our way.
Pursue incremental changes, not sweeping ones.
That’s the most critical. The Left is constantly branding us as extremists. I know people who switched to Obama because of Akins and then Mourdocks foolish comments.
This post is written in anger and frustration.
Angry that we continue to follow the Republican Partys elite ignorance. A party that continues to pull defeat from the jaws of victory characterized by pompous fools who fulfill the sterotype built by the left.
Frustrated that the reality of politics is this: There will be no third party capable of competing with the coalition constructed by the dems. As a result, true conservatives MUST take steps to irradicate the ignorance of the Republican Party while still adhering to the core values of our forefathers (beliefs that I discovered are considered extreme by over half of my countrymen on Tuesday night, BTW).
I have no solve for exactly how to accomplish this. Only advice based on a long military career in several foreign lands for how to defeat the dems once this is accomplished.
This thought process is based on the concept of irregular warfare with twists thrown in here and there for good measure.
With that, I provide the following advice for the good of the order.
LEADERSHIP: The old crew has proven either incompotent or outdated. McConnell and Boerner must go. They represent a failed plan to defend and resist without clearly explaining their position. They are content with looking like the bad guys and face public scorn when they dont realize how important it is to manipulate a clearly left leaning MSM. They represent the failure of the last four years to our own and obstructionists to the opposition. Weve got to show a new face to the nation. That is the genesis of rebuilding this movement. Ryan or Cantor in the House, Rubio or Demint in the Senate.
We also need a standard bearer and I see no one on the horizon with as much rockstar potential and substance as Rubio. These next four years must put him on the center stage with a unified and consolidated message. It also needs to protect him from the attacks from the left that are guaranteed to come.
Everything the Obamites used to deny, deflect, and difuse will be used againstt hem....including the race card. THAT is what will make Rubio a teflon candidate.
These men represent a change in a party that has been beaten soundly in the last two elections by a charlatan and his traveling circus. A fresh choice in leadership represents change you can TRULY beleive in from every angle. It marks a clear start from inside and outside when we actually started taking this enemy seriously.
GROUND GAME: It is IMPERATIVE to develop and foster an intricate ground game. It requires a MICRO-ANALYSIS of every county, every city, and every early and absentee ballot by demographic to find how how, why, and with what method they voted. The dems have built quite the coalition but its a house of cards; its a fractured coalition of single issue voters held together by a media-invested hollyweird worshipping demagogue. They can be piecemealed away bitby bit without sacrficing principle.
Give it to the dems on their community organizing machine. We dont need to reinvent that model. We MUST develop our own. One that will INSTILL our principles in a language tailored to the audience. Theyve tailored theirs on the community organizer, we can create ours around the military special operator. This the winning of hearts and minds in our own third world backyard dem strongholds.
This isnt as difficult as it sounds. It requires a patient and immediate effort that starts with the post election analysis looking not for what we WANT to find, but for the GROUND TRUTH. GROUND TRUTH is REAL INTELLIGENCE not Rovian number-crunching wishful thinking.
It will require an insurgent effort at the ground level. An infiltration into dem areas that we identify are weak or vulnerable to start cutting in to the blue.
The COIN (insurgeny/counterinsurgency)effort would include the identification of these areas, the inflitration of the areas through churches and charitable organizations AND PARTICULARLY THROUGH EDUCATION.
There ARE like thinkers in these communities. How do we find them? Ask Jesse L. Peterson. Ask JC Watts and Herman Cain. They KNOW how to splinter these vulnerable areas off the blue.
The hispanic issue is RIPE for moving into the red. Catholic, family oriented cultures who beleive in being left alone and naturally distrust the government. And they voted Obama? This is the epitome of the single issue voter. the RNC needs to go toe to toe, issue to issue with the Race and counter it in that community, in that language, at THAT LEVEL.
Think it cant be done? SOF has been doing it since the end of World War II. It CAN be done.
WE must get deep into the education system to promote the ideals and values of conservatism that should be selling themselves. Im not talking about traditional public schools and universities. They are ROTTED with liberals. They also arentthe keys to education in the 21st century.
Im talking about the new way to educate - the online universities, the trade schools and nightschools. Corporate allies need to invest and educate with the ideals of economic and fiscal conservatism.
The RNC needs to lead and develop this effort. A novice like me can see that there is a disconnect between the voting habits of catholic-dominated hispanics and pockets of baptist blacks and their actual stated values. That disconnect can be exploited if it is done slowly, deliberately, and effectively.
INFORMATION WARFARE: We are ATROCIOUS AT THIS. Dems get a simple message out early and often. They poison the well and we are left to change minds rather than get the initial impression right from jump. We constantly play defense and think we are sooooo clever when dems (as they ALWAYS do) do something stupid or illegal and shocked when the media all but ignores it. We must take the offensive in getting up in every Candy Crowley, every George Stepenopolis face and call them what they are: democratic hacks posing as the objective media
We ABSOLUTELY MUST be proactive. We must attack at EVERY OPPORTUNITY then add each fail of the dems to a trend and theme. These themes must be simple, tailored, and repetitively broadcast to each target demographic.
We must look out beyond the 5 and 10 meter targets. Weve got to effectively interpret what the dem message is on the horizon and confront it at all levels - from the national MSM level filtering directly down to the target group level. Even I can see what the talking points of the upcoming week are by watching the Sunday talking head programs. Defense is unacceptable. we cant pretent that the most outrageous comment wont gain traction then act surprised when weeks later, that theme picks up steam. Attack, attack, attack.
Alinsky tactics must be turned against their masters. There is GREAT power in ridicule and scorn. They make it too easy to use. It needs to be culturally tailored and consistent. Dennis Miller needs his own show on FNC AND a late night show on Fox. Let him source and promote culturally diverse conserative comedians that vulnerable areas can relate to and remember. Bold Fresh tours arent enough.
This is only part of an overall information operation plan that is constant in a simple party message and what it means to each target group.
WE DONT DO THAT WELL. WHY NOT? I find it unbelievable that Obama has hijacked the reputation and imagery of the Party of Lincoln.
COIN operations involve a very in depth understanding of cultural idocyncracies and how best to exploit them to our advantage. Its not a wool-over-the-eyes approach or a free shit approach like the dems sell. THAT ALWAYS COMES UP SHORT.
Its a sell based on how it effects each target group and what it means to them. If its done right, I am CONFIDENT that the tenets of conservatism sell themselves.
In Civil Miltary Operations, assistance in areas that seem unrelated builds trust in the agency. Granted, theres a fine line between assistance and the giving of free shit but, the special operations forces walk that line well. It can be done. Community outreach in areas that we identify, in ways that we havent before can build a larger tent without sacrificing our beliefs.
The military has been doing this in third world countries for years. Weve been more successful in some areas, less successful in others. In the United States third world strongholds of the Democratic Party,I am confident that it can be done.
Heres the kicker: There are countless retired special operations planners and operators working overseas as contractors RIGHT NOW. Its too easy; the RNC needs to hire them as contractors over here.
This is, by far, not the only avenue weve got to pursue in order to turn the tide.
But, if we are going to war, the RNC must look to the military to rediscover and reorganize. The number-crunching beancounters have their place in the organization but, on their best days, they can only identify who will and wont vote Republican.
This is a Hearts and Minds effort.
It requires a new way to think about the political battlefield.
Rangers Lead the Way.
Shouldn’t you at least wait until the boomers retire, before you have them all dying off?
I don’t think that Todd and Sarah Palin are going to die anytime soon.
Sarah and Todd aren't Boomers!
Sarah was born in 1964, at the tail end.
There's a cohort that's 18 years long and the first 6 years, or a full 1/3 of the Boomers, are already well into their 60s and they are dying left and right.
Generations are confusing to people, including the media. For instance, Generation Y lasted from 1982 to 2000, yet the media calls them “millennials”. None of them where born in the third millennium. That would be Generation Z (2001-2018).
Sarah Palin and Todd and Obama are all boomers.
I know that boomers range in age from 48 through 66, and that people within that age group die, but you make it sound like they are all in their final days and close to disappearing.
The age group of 48 which includes Todd and Sarah, to 66, still have more than a few years left to participate in America.
As long as you replace each one who dies, or is disabled, or just can't do it any more, you are OK, but you need some truly heroic registration drives to do that.
Do you want them all to die or something?
I think that people are aware of where 48 year old to 66 year olds are in regards to dying off suddenly.
Your overly dramatic posts on multiple threads make it sound like they are finished as a force in politics, boomer Sarah Palin still has a few years to go, and many boomers become more conservative as they age, which has the effect of making up for people who die many years before the average life expectancy.
The point is to deal with some rather fantastic change in effective voting strength election to election for both parties.