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To: muawiyah

“That 3% becomes 11X 3%, or 33%.”

The odds of that happening over this large a sample are higher than your chances of winning the jackpot at Vegas with three playboy bunnies over your shoulder. Twice.


42 posted on 11/15/2012 4:48:01 AM PST by JCBreckenridge (They may take our lives... but they'll never take our FREEDOM!)
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To: JCBreckenridge
Back to basics. There are normal people and there are special interest people. The normal people answer that phone 9% of the time and the special interest people answer that phone 100% of the time.

The polling firms have turned to allowing their selected targets to "Call Back" which means everybody who is called has a 100% chance of making connection with the pollster.

Those who neither answer the phone nor call back 91% of the time, are not queried. Those who answer the phone or call back 100% of the time, are queried.

The final results reported from these polls involve answers provided ONLY by those queried!

If your special interest group is as much as 1% of the population, you will end up queried by the pollsters at least 11 X more often than anyone who is part of the 91% non response group.

If there are three leftwingtard special interest groups, their combined 1% representation will be 3% of the total of the original 100% of people who are called, but it will be 33% of the total of the final 9% of people who answer.

So, what are the odds of being called? Actually they are very high ~ I get called regularly.

Word gets around on some polls ~ Gallup says that for the last year it has been asking for the sexual preferences of the people they contact. I don't think they could hide that long.

By all accounting all the Gallup campaign polls were the MOST in error.

No doubt!

43 posted on 11/15/2012 5:02:59 AM PST by muawiyah
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