Yeah, I can’t see a confiscation bill passing now or anytime in the near future. But beyond that time range I can absolutely see it. The growing demographics in this country - Hispanics, Asians, single women - do not support the Second Amendment. They are much more supportive of gun control and gun bans.
We may not win the Presidency again, and the Senate seems a lost cause now too considering how deeply we got our clocks cleaned this year with conservative, moderate, and liberal Republicans all losing, in many cases to shitty opponents.
As far as the Sup Court goes, well now we can point to the Heller and McDonald decisions, but they’ll be overturned. And even if they’re not, I doubt even this Sup Court would strike down an ‘assault weapons’ ban, or do anything about restrictions on magazine capacity or attempts to restrict ammunition.
Since House members are the easiest to pressure, we may maintain a pro-Second Amendment House for a while, but I’m convinced they will go along with most of what Feinstein and Obama wants next year. The GOP establishment is desperate to moderate the party’s image. What better way to do that than banning evil assault weapons? My pessimism is bolstered even more by the knowledge that much of the GOP establishment hates its base. They are embarrassed that they must rely on white people, and conservative Christians, and gun owners to win elections.
Oh my. I guess I have a different perspective. I thought we lost the Senate this year because we nominated two idiots, at least with respects to their political capabilities: Akin and Mourdock both lost because they were stupid enough to make statements concerning rape. Both should have known better. The fact that they did not shows how weak they were as candidates (sorry to the purest out there but you can have principles while avoiding idiotic statements).
Romney was the perfect foil for Obama, and many on this site tried to highlight that fact. His staff made matters worse by allowing Obama to define him unanswered throughout the summer. Demographics had little to do with it.
It is important to remember that following W's victory in 2004 the Republicans were supposed to never lose again. We all remember 2006. These things tend to swing back and forth, and it is likely we will see gains in the Senate in 2014 followed by the presidency in 2016. Nothing guaranteed, but there is a deep bench of diverse Conservatives to choose from ... the advantage of holding 30 governorships.