Posted on 01/20/2013 1:43:31 PM PST by SMGFan
While Obama is officially sworn in today as President for another four years, smart strategists are keeping their eye on the 2014 ball. There are 32 senators up for reelection in 2014. Of those, 20 are Democrats and 13 are Republicans. With Senator Rockefeller's (D-W.Va) retirement in 2014, an additional senate seat is in play. Democrat resources will be spread thinner than the GOP's on account of this seven seat discrepancy; there will be a Republican advantage in the upcoming campaign season. Digging deeper, 12 of those 20 Democrat seats come from a state that is red or swing: Alaska, Arkansas, Colorado, Iowa, Louisiana, Montana, South Dakota, Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Carolina, W. Virginia, and Virginia. Those seats are vulnerable should the party run strong candidates.
An additional advantage for the GOP is Obama's latest attempt to encourage some kind of gun control legislation. Those senators in gun-friendly states will have to choose: either back the President's gun control agenda or risk handing their GOP opponents an effective talking point.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
The GOP is a waste of time and money..we need a new party..
OTOH, the GOP could lose the House in 2014.
I don’t care to hear any election predictions.
I don’t care to hear or see any polls.
The GOPe will piss away any chance they’ve got, and why would I vote for them anyway?
If my vote is lost on the GOPe, I might as well vote for the conservative or libertarian or constitutionalist candidate. I’ll see none in the GOPe.
There are 33 seats which come up for re-election in 2014, not 32.
National media has the ability to give Dem Senate candidates the win in most races.
Conservatives only need 20+ House races to take over the House, and national media has little influence on those races.
ROTFLMAO! Yeah anyone should listen to these guys since they were so accurate during the last election. - sarcasm off-
I won’t get excited until I see a party and candidates comprised of Jeffersonian liberals in the lead.
Along with flipping some seats from D to R, could we maybe flip Maine from RINO to conservative? If Susan Collins runs for re-election, the GOPe will be sure to back her heavily, but Cruz in Texas has shown what’s possible.
Something that went completely unnoticed was that overall there were 1 million more Democrat votes for House candidates than Republican in 2012.
Could it be 33 + 2 Special Elections ( SC & HI)?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2014
Ummmmm.....ever noticed that Maine and Texas are...pretty different?
You can flip Maine from RINO to Democrat. That's it. It's not possible to elect a senatorial candidate in states like Maine, Delaware, etc. that would meet the purity standards of FR.
Of course, if your goal is to convert the party to a purely regional party of the South and Mountain West, with no chance of winning the Presidency, then that's fine.
If the worthless GOP cannot take Congress with this gun grab issue. They are idiots.
The GOP has the US House. That hasn’t worked out too well for us. It really doesn’t matter whether they win or lose in 2014, because I see no difference between them and the Democrats.
Sorry for that, but it looks like we are just trying to keep things the way they are by voting for these people.
Watch for the gOP to make a mess of things.
“Something that went completely unnoticed was that overall there were 1 million more Democrat votes for House candidates than Republican in 2012. “
Yes, 4 million Obama voters could not bring themselves to vote for the Dem House candidate LOL!
You’d think that would get some attention...
Give them time, they can muck it up quite handily.
Yeah, Maine is a problem, and your arguments have some merit. Suppose Collins decides to run and there’s a conservative primary challenger. The conservative might well be, as you point out, less likely to win the general. On the other hand, there’ve been upsets before. The question is how big of a risk would losing Collins be. She caucuses with the Republicans (at least for now), which affects committee chairships and the like, but she’s otherwise horrible.
Traditionally, in the midterms in the sixth year of a presidential administration, the opposition party makes big gains. Even Reagan couldn’t buck that trend, IIRC. So this might be the year when a conservative candidate (who didn’t say anything stupid about rape, please!!!!) could win.
Doesn’t Maine have a lot of hunters? Maybe the RKBA issue will be important.
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