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To: SeekAndFind

It is true that Dick Morris predicted a landslide victory for Romney as did many others including me. We were all operating under a basic political preconception: “It’s the economy, stupid.” Which of course came from James Carville.

Little did we know the dynamic had changed and now it’s the demographics, stupid. That was Morris’s big mistake. Many people now WANT higher taxes (on others) and bigger government. It’s the demographics, stupid. OK we get it.


6 posted on 02/06/2013 7:47:45 AM PST by Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
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To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines

Morris failed to take voter fraud into account. That’s a serious mistake for a Democrat.


8 posted on 02/06/2013 7:51:19 AM PST by AppyPappy (You never see a massacre at a gun show.)
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To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines

RE: Little did we know the dynamic had changed and now it’s the demographics

Who woulda thunk that Michael Barone, one of America’s foremost demographic observers would get it wrong too?

Here are some of the folks FReepers tended to trust who got it wrong last November ( as far as I can remember ):

Karl Rove,
High Hewitt,
Dick Morris,
Wayne Allyn Root (Las Vegas odds maker who claims he’s seldom wrong)
Gallup,
Rasmussen

(add your name or organization here ).

The two most correct predictors:

Nate Silver of the NY Times

INTRADE Market


10 posted on 02/06/2013 7:57:28 AM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
It is true that Dick Morris predicted a landslide victory for Romney as did many others including me. We were all operating under a basic political preconception: “It’s the economy, stupid.” Which of course came from James Carville.

I didn't think it would be a landslide, but I did think that Romney would win. I'm convinced that Hurricane Sandy, along with Chris Christie's glowing comments about Obama, and stroll along the beach, convinced enough undecideds that maybe Obama wasn't such a bad president ater all, and we should stick with him. Had it not been for Christie, I think Romney would be the President today.

20 posted on 02/06/2013 8:20:35 AM PST by GreenHornet
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To: Trapped Behind Enemy Lines
Little did we know the dynamic had changed and now it’s the demographics, stupid. That was Morris’s big mistake. Many people now WANT higher taxes (on others) and bigger government. It’s the demographics, stupid. OK we get it.

LOL, Free Republic is schizophrenic on this issue. Much of its readership blames the loss on running RINOs like Romney. Others like you blame it on demographics. It cannot be both. If the demographics have shifted in favor of a "gimme, gimme" electorate, then a more conservative candidate would have done even worse than Romney.

25 posted on 02/06/2013 8:30:20 AM PST by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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