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Intelligent Civilizations Rarer than One in a Million
Scientific Computing ^ | Tue, 02/12/2013 - 7:13am

Posted on 03/22/2013 6:37:25 AM PDT by null and void


 UC SETI physicists plan to monitor stars with two transiting planets in hopes of eavesdropping on interplanet communications. Because these signals would be narrowly beamed, they would be stronger and, thus, more easily detected from Earth.

NASA’s Kepler mission has identified 2,740 planets orbiting other stars, but do any of them harbor intelligent life?

Scientists at UC Berkeley now have used the Green Bank Telescope in West Virginia to look for intelligent radio signals from planets around 86 of these stars. While discovering no telltale signs of life, the researchers calculate that fewer than one in a million stars in the Milky Way Galaxy have planetary civilizations advanced enough to transmit beacons we could detect.

“We didn’t find ET, but we were able to use this statistical sample to, for the first time, put rather explicit limits on the presence of intelligent civilizations transmitting in the radio band where we searched,” said Andrew Siemion, who recently received his Ph.D. in astronomy from UC Berkeley.

Even with such odds, there could be millions of advanced civilizations in the galaxy.

“The Kepler mission taught us there are a trillion planets in our Milky Way Galaxy, more planets than there are stars,” said UC Berkeley physicist Dan Werthimer, who heads the world’s longest running SETI (Search for Extraterrestrial Intelligence) project at the Arecibo Telescope in Puerto Rico. “Some day, Earthlings might contact civilizations billions of years ahead of us.”

Siemion, Werthimer and their colleagues published their findings online in a paper that has been accepted to The Astrophysical Journal.

The 86 stars were chosen last year based on a list of 1,235 planet candidates known at that time. The scientists chose stars with five or six planet candidates in orbit and those that hosted planets that are thought to have Earth-like conditions, including temperatures that allow liquid water. The telescope, funded by the National Science Foundation, spent 12 hours collecting five minutes of radio emissions from each star in a frequency range (1.1 – 1.9 GHz) that on Earth falls between the cellphone and TV bands. They then combed through the data looking for high-intensity signals with a narrow bandwidth (5 Hz) that are only produced artificially – presumably by intelligent life.

Most of the stars were more than 1,000 light years away, so only signals intentionally aimed in our direction would have been detected. The scientists say that, in the future, more sensitive radio telescopes, such as the Square Kilometer Array, should be able to detect much weaker radiation, perhaps even unintentional leakage radiation, from civilizations like our own.

The team plans more observations with the Green Bank Telescope, focusing on multi-planet systems in which two of the planets occasionally align relative to Earth, potentially allowing them to eavesdrop on communications between the planets.

“This work illustrates the power of leveraging our latest understanding of exoplanets in SETI searches,” Werthimer said. “We no longer have to guess about whether we are targeting Earth-like environments, we know it with certainty.”

Coauthors of the study are Eric Korpela, Matt Lebofsky, Jeff Cobb and Geoff W. Marcy of UC Berkeley; Andrew W. Howard of the Institute for Astronomy at the University of Hawaii, Manoa; Paul Demorest, Ron J. Maddalena and Glen Langston of the National Radio Astronomy Observatory (NRAO); and Jill Tarter of the SETI Institute in Mountain View, CA.

The research was funded by a NASA Exobiology grant and donations from the Friends of Berkeley SETI and the Friends of SETI@home. The Green Bank Telescope is operated by NRAO under cooperative agreement by Associated Universities.


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To: SampleMan

That’s why there were no muslims in Star Trek...


21 posted on 03/22/2013 7:24:25 AM PDT by null and void (If the government is so worried about civil disturbance, why are they working so hard to disturb us?)
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To: null and void

Akshul rasho of inhabited planets is

(# planets in universe)/one


22 posted on 03/22/2013 7:25:14 AM PDT by OSHA (One despises and wants to destroy the United States, the other is a dead terrorist.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Or, based on the singular data point you cited, zero.


23 posted on 03/22/2013 7:25:37 AM PDT by null and void (If the government is so worried about civil disturbance, why are they working so hard to disturb us?)
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To: null and void
in hopes of eavesdropping on interplanet communications

Just like the Obama justice dept wants to do with OUR emails.

==

Could be that those Alpha Centarians are already listening in on our communications. hmmmmmmmmmmmm. There do seem to be a rash of close encounters with 'asteroids' and 'meteorites' lately. Maybe, those rocks are not really rocks, but are just disguises...
24 posted on 03/22/2013 7:26:16 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: Westbrook
It’s been my observation that intelligent humans are rarer than one in a million.

You certainly won't find any in Washington DC.

25 posted on 03/22/2013 7:26:41 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: null and void

Who do you think the Klingons are modeled after?


26 posted on 03/22/2013 7:26:45 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: SampleMan

That’s not going to happen until the Big Guy comes back, then “colonizing” will have no meaning.

Socialism is the political expression of the religion of Humanism which began with the lie “you will be like God, knowing good and evil”,

and will only end when its author is flung into the Pit.


27 posted on 03/22/2013 7:28:18 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: null and void
Or, based on the singular data point you cited, zero.

Well yes. We are talking about "Intelligent" Civilizations.

28 posted on 03/22/2013 7:28:59 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: InterceptPoint
Another thing these estimates don't factor in is the temporal dimension. I would not be at all surprised if its common for Advanced Intelligence/Civilizations to rise and then inexplicably fall. A lot may destroy themselves through wars. But a lot of other “intelligent” races may simply de-evolve, or even go extinct, because they embraced policies that were not compatible with the long term sustainment of intelligence. Its the kind of thing HG Wells warned about in “The Time Machine”. I think we will see this play out in human society.

You could also have civilizations that, once sufficiently intelligent, lose their physical form and self evolve to a “higher” level (e.g., pure energy). That is what Arthur C. Clarke prophesied in some of his books, like “Childhood's End” and “2001 - A Space Odyssey”.

29 posted on 03/22/2013 7:29:17 AM PDT by rbg81
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To: rbg81

We’re closer to Idiocracy than any of those scenarios.


30 posted on 03/22/2013 7:30:12 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: null and void

2700 id’d... Untold quintillions to go...


31 posted on 03/22/2013 7:31:59 AM PDT by Dead Corpse (I will not comply.)
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To: SampleMan
Counting on radio waves is problematic.

All the cool advanced civilizations use communicate via quantum entanglement. The coolest ones have the new iTangle - now with more cattle mutilation apps.

32 posted on 03/22/2013 7:32:00 AM PDT by Sirius Lee (All that is required for evil to advance is for government to do "something")
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To: null and void
They were able to evaluate one million civilizations spread throughout the universe?
Exactly where are these million civilizations located?
And how did they communicate with them?

We know there is no intelligent life to be found at this location:


33 posted on 03/22/2013 7:34:35 AM PDT by Iron Munro (I miss America, don't you?)
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To: InterceptPoint

I’m sure glad humans picked this one. :-)


34 posted on 03/22/2013 7:35:12 AM PDT by Conservative4Ever (I'm going Galt)
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To: null and void
Even with such odds, there could be millions of advanced civilizations in the galaxy.

The "recipe" for earth, that magnitude of perfection in what it takes to create life as we know it, intelligent life, probably is in the teens if at all, not in the millions.

35 posted on 03/22/2013 7:35:36 AM PDT by yoe
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To: SampleMan

I’ve often thought that the Human civilization will come to an abrupt end once someone invents a device that can channel entertainment directly into the mind.

Such an invention would give people the illusion they are doing something sexy or heroic when, in fact, they would just be in some sort of trace or sensory deprivation tank.

For most men, their “lives” would turn into one big porn movie. For most women, it would be an endless shopping trip.


36 posted on 03/22/2013 7:36:36 AM PDT by rbg81
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To: yoe

The conditions need not be that exact if you allow the life to be something that isn’t identical to human life.

As near as we can tell the only real requirement for “life as we know it” is liquid water.

Everything else is details.


37 posted on 03/22/2013 7:50:13 AM PDT by null and void (If the government is so worried about civil disturbance, why are they working so hard to disturb us?)
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To: Iron Munro

I see Michelle decided to hang out with the stormtrooper.


38 posted on 03/22/2013 7:50:46 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: rbg81

Where can I sign up?


39 posted on 03/22/2013 7:51:07 AM PDT by null and void (If the government is so worried about civil disturbance, why are they working so hard to disturb us?)
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To: KC_Lion

One of my favorite games of all time. Outstanding!


40 posted on 03/22/2013 7:51:21 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility (In times of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act - Orwell)
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