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Who Killed the New Majority?
Human Events ^ | 3/26/2013 | Patrick J. Buchanan

Posted on 03/27/2013 6:55:35 AM PDT by LucianOfSamasota

The Republican National Committee has produced an “autopsy” on what went wrong in 2012, when the party failed to win the White House and lost seats in Congress.

Yet, the crisis of the Grand Old Party goes back much further.

First, some history. The Frank Lloyd Wright of the New Majority was Richard Nixon, who picked up the pieces of the party after Goldwater’s defeat had left Republicans with just a third of the House and Senate.

In 1966, Nixon led the GOP back to a stunning victory, picking up 47 House seats. In 1968, he united the Rockefeller and Reagan wings and held off an October surge by Hubert Humphrey, which cut a 13-point Nixon lead to less than a point in four weeks.

In 1972, Nixon swept 49 states. The New Majority was born. How did he do it?

Nixon sliced off from FDR’s New Deal coalition Northern Catholics and ethnics — Irish, Italians, Poles, East Europeans — and Southern Christian conservatives. Where FDR and Woodrow Wilson had won all 11 Southern States six times, Nixon swept them all in ’72. And where Nixon won only 22 percent of the Catholic vote against JFK, he won 55 percent against George McGovern in 1972.

What killed the New Majority?

(Excerpt) Read more at humanevents.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: society
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To: muawiyah
LBJ won by getting new Democrat voters ~ the 25% of the black vote JFK left behind.

That is just wrong, it was a massive landslide, history making, Johnson even won the Protestant vote and it was the last time in history that the democrats won the white vote and he did it with 59%, LBJ won everybody, just about every category of voter that there was.

41 posted on 03/27/2013 1:06:32 PM PDT by ansel12 (" I would not be in the United States Senate if it wasnt for Sarah Palin " Cruz said.)
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To: muawiyah

Your convoluted writing and confused rambling is not my error, it is yours.


42 posted on 03/27/2013 1:12:23 PM PDT by ansel12 (" I would not be in the United States Senate if it wasnt for Sarah Palin " Cruz said.)
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To: ansel12
Have your eyes checked ~ maybe next time I'll put more hard returns in for you and list the data in a table.

In any case, the point is that we can address these questions of who did or did not show up to vote in a given election by looking at changes in voting strength election to election.Not everybody abandoned Goldwater ~ just the antisemites and the black voters.

43 posted on 03/27/2013 1:18:49 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: LucianOfSamasota
He's right. But the generational shift in cultural beliefs and the economic slump were probably more important than the 53%-47% thing. As was noted elsewhere, people who aren't paying income taxes are often still paying payroll taxes, and people who are getting money from the government are often retirees who paid taxes in their working years.

Republicans were able to overcome dependent populations and win elections until 1) the economic downturn made those populations larger and 2) large numbers of people in the labor force adopted social views that made them reject the GOP.

You can argue that support for mass immigration and anti-industrial trade policies or tolerance of illegal immigration and dropping millions of the income tax rolls were self-inflicted wounds. That's all the more true of the wars and the financial market chicanery. But the big shift in cultural values isn't something one can really blame on the GOP.

44 posted on 03/27/2013 1:30:40 PM PDT by x
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To: ansel12
The Protestant Vote had been, all along, composed of whites and blacks. Most black people are Protestants ~ except for those guys who play for those Catholic 'basketball colleges' ~ I saw those people beat my favorite Butler the other night ~ and next year with a reorganized Big East Conference we'll be seeing at least three games with Butler v. Marquette.

But that's the exception.

45 posted on 03/27/2013 1:39:52 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
Not everybody abandoned Goldwater ~ just the antisemites and the black voters.

Who didn't abandon Goldwater? The black vote which the democrats already totally owned since 1936, or the 90% of Jewish voters who voted for LBJ?

46 posted on 03/27/2013 1:41:12 PM PDT by ansel12 (" I would not be in the United States Senate if it wasnt for Sarah Palin " Cruz said.)
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To: muawiyah
The Protestant Vote had been, all along, composed of whites and blacks.

Yeah, we all know that already, and yet the democrats have only won the Protestant vote three times, in 1932, 1936, and 1964.

47 posted on 03/27/2013 1:44:18 PM PDT by ansel12 (" I would not be in the United States Senate if it wasnt for Sarah Palin " Cruz said.)
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To: ansel12
JFK got just 75% of the black vote. LBJ upped that to nearly 100% ~ but it wasn't just all of the historic black vote ~ this time, in 1964, it included a couple of million more black voters who had not earlier participated in voting. Thinking of this as part of a process of the black voters turning into a major political faction within the Democrat coalition helps to understand it.

In short, it wasn't so much Goldwater's drop ~ but more LBJ's gain!

That's the permanent majority that ended with Richard Nixon's victory in 1968! Buchanan, however, sees the new majority starting with Ronald Reagan although that simply heralds the permanet lodgement of the white Souvr'n voters in the Republican tent.

It is difficult for either major coalition party to advance much beyond 50% + 1 vote for long. There's not going to ever be a string of landslides like Thomas Jefferson and his friends enjoyed in the early 1800s. Our factions rejust quickly ~ right now we have a shot at UNEMPLOYED BLACK VOTERS so we needed a jobs plan to beat the Democrats over the head with in 2012.

Didn't happen. That opportunity was lost. But it's not too late for 2014, and 2016. The Great Obama Recession isn't going to end that quickly, the US is going to have used up its overseas credit with ObamaKKKare borrowing, so no more gub'mnt operated jobs programs.

We can get back that 25% and maybe more EASILY. Unfortunately the GOP-e has no will nor interest in building the party and registering new Republican voters ~ particularly unemployed black men.

48 posted on 03/27/2013 2:05:35 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah

I don’t know the voting tendencies of the two groups, but let’s assume (for the sake of argument) that they tend to vote socialist, big government, loot my neighbor and give it to me politics.
Certainly, change their values.

Christian is a big word, and many who self-define as Christians don’t know what it means to follow Christ.

Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, and Jeremiah Wright each claim to be Christians.

The Christianity that shaped the values of our forefathers was about serving the risen Christ, and recognized that the only way to know how to serve the invisible God was to study His written Word, the Bible. We believed in an unattainable, absolute, perfect God, whom we would never reach with our own efforts, but only through grace, through the sacrifice of His dear Son. But fealty to our God required us to try to live up to His commandments, knowing we would sometimes fail. Part of this commitment was commonly known as the ‘Puritan work ethic’.

This Christianity teaches that the Lord is our Provider.
Not our employer. Not our government. Not social services.

We are COMMANDED to work ‘as unto the Lord’, with the promise that our Lord will reward our efforts and provide more than enough for our needs.

We are commanded to be good stewards of what the Lord has given us, to live within our means, balance our budget, plan for the future, and honor our debts.

We are exhorted to help those in need from the money we have earned.

And we are forbidden to covet our neighbor’s possessions. If the Lord chooses to bless our neighbor, that is between him and the Lord. We don’t assume he is ‘greedy’ or ‘has too much’.

So we give to the less fortunate out of compassion, but we never take from the more fortunate out of envy. The latter is a satanic perversion of the former.

Christianity which allows me defraud my neighbor, to lie, to cheat, to live on money I have not earned, to envy, to judge the well off because they have more than I do - is not Christianity at all. Any who follow such a system need to return to Christ, regardless of their. self-appointed appellations. And if I fall short in these areas, I also need to return to Christ.


49 posted on 03/27/2013 2:23:29 PM PDT by LucianOfSamasota (Tanstaafl - its not just for breakfast anymore...)
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To: muawiyah

Man, sorry to tell you that LBJ won in a massive landslide that covered all categories, it wasn’t the black voters moving from 75% to 94% democrat, and it wasn’t better black turnout, and it wasn’t anti-semitic Jews voting 90% for LBJ.

Goldwater lost everyone, including 60% of men and 59% of the white vote.


50 posted on 03/27/2013 2:32:58 PM PDT by ansel12 (" I would not be in the United States Senate if it wasnt for Sarah Palin " Cruz said.)
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To: ansel12

But the aggregate numbers tell a totally different story. LBJ won because he got votes JFK couldn’t get.


51 posted on 03/27/2013 2:40:14 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
LBJ won because he got votes JFK couldn’t get.

He sure did, like the white vote, the female vote, the college degree vote, the professional/business vote, the over 50 vote,the white collar vote, the Protestant vote, the independent vote, the Midwestern vote, the West vote, and a HUGE increase in the republican vote crossing over for him.

52 posted on 03/27/2013 2:50:44 PM PDT by ansel12 (" I would not be in the United States Senate if it wasnt for Sarah Palin " Cruz said.)
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To: ansel12
Tell me how many ~ let's see the numbers. Referring back up the line to the numbers I provided on each race ~ before and after 1964, Goldwater's numbers are not as much below the trendline as LBJ's are above the trendline.

Looks to me like the biggest group he may have lost were Souvrn' whites and the rest of the Nawthan' blacks.

Hmm ~ maybe Jesse Jackson could tell us about that.

And don't be using any numbers from those sites that cite the Annenberg research and statistics ~ that Foundation was long ago taken over by its leftwingtard staff. Virtually nothing they say is worth looking at. BTW, almost all the reports in the first thousand or so references get back to Annenberg. Look deeper.

53 posted on 03/27/2013 2:58:02 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: LucianOfSamasota

And coupon clippers? Are they all going to perdition for failing to earn their money?


54 posted on 03/27/2013 2:59:36 PM PDT by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
LBJ won by getting new Democrat voters ~ the 25% of the black vote JFK left behind.

To save time, just make it real simple and tell us how, when LBJ won with more than 61% of the vote, and won 59% of the white vote, you think that he won by doing better among blacks.

55 posted on 03/27/2013 3:18:53 PM PDT by ansel12 (" I would not be in the United States Senate if it wasnt for Sarah Palin " Cruz said.)
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To: muawiyah

Stay-at-home mothers and grandparents are not “unemployed” — they perform an important employment and should not be considered as unemployed imho


56 posted on 04/02/2013 4:22:41 AM PDT by Cronos (Latin presbuteros->Late Latin presbyter->Old English pruos->Middle Engl prest->priest)
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To: Cronos

Why no? They’re no different than coupon clippers like the Romney family?


57 posted on 04/02/2013 5:36:23 AM PDT by muawiyah
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