Don’t count the chickens yet. Folks in Alaska like to talk a conservative game but want the money to keep flowing. Murkowski won last time because she promised to keep the money coming into Alaska; and she won as an Indy; a hard thing to do. If the Dem frames Miller has the guy that wants to short change Alaska by cutting spending; it will be a tough race.
Murkowski won last time because the democrats knew they couldn’t win the seat and assisted her in keeping a conservative from winning, since all knew that she’s basically a democrat anyway. And of course the payoffs from dear old dad.
I think Begich is ripe for defeat.