Obamas secret weapon here is dependency and the sooner dependency begins, the more difficult it is to cancel the program. This is why Team O is dead set, come hell or high water, on getting the exchanges up and running. Theyll delay the employer mandate, theyll suspend the anti-fraud provisions theyll fiddle with the law however they need to in order to make it more salable in the near term so long as the exchanges start on time. Hence Cruzs desperation in dramatic action soon.
He knows he has his boot on the GOPs throat when it comes to repeal thanks to his two big wins last year. Even if the public blamed him for a shutdown rather than the GOP, how likely is it that hell break and risk destroying his legacy by signing a bill that defunds the program before the exchanges go into effect? Id say its absolute zero, especially knowing that the media will go face first into the tank for him in blaming any shutdown on the GOP. Even staunch ObamaCare critics like Peter Suderman cant see the endgame here.
In fact, according to the CRS, a government shutdown wouldnt even stop certain key parts of O-Care from taking effect. Subsidies under the law are mandatory spending, so they continue; the penalties for not buying insurance would continue too.
Michele Bachmann told you guys that in 2011-2012 when she was running. You did not care or did not listen to her. You get what you deserve. Talking to the general population of Republican Primary voters. I could care less now. We will all suffer due to the conservatives voting for Romney and not Michele Bachmann.