Glad to see your post.
I worry that it could be like Colo, which went from +5 Bush 2004 to +5 Obama 2012. A huge, fast swing.
Likely due to in-migration of illegals, and liberals.
We would be seeing it already. We would have seen it clearly in 2012 but we didn’t. Its good to keep an eye out and never be complacent but right now its all blue smoke and mirrors. Texas isn’t getting less conservative and as for liberals Texas is the last place they want to relocate to. I think there is a greater likely hood to see some blue states to begin to fracture politically which we do see evidence of in Wisconsin and Michigan.