You could see 90+% turnout in “urban” areas for TM. There would have to be a strong turnout for KC in the west for him to win.
The Democrats have this game down pat now. The reason for the 10+% lead last week was to make a possible landslide more palatable.
We are NOT going to see 90% turnout for McAuliffe. He tried to turn out voters in 2009 and failed horribly. He’s not Obama and even those working for him and voting for him admit he is a corrupt jerk. I’ve not met one voter who loves Terry McAuliffe. Black voters are not going to turnout for him nor are young voters. The truth is the voters who are going to turnout as a largest percentage are older more Republican voters and the Tea Party is going to turnout big regardless.