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To: NormsRevenge

This says to me the Chinese intend to expand and colonize abroad such as in Africa. Also in a Chinese run Asian Co-prosperity sphere.

Who knows? They demand half of California to settle outstanding debt? Plenty of lebensraum over there


10 posted on 11/15/2013 9:51:08 AM PST by dennisw (The first principle is to find out who you are then you can achieve anything -- Buddhist monk)
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To: dennisw
This says to me the Chinese intend to expand and colonize abroad such as in Africa. Also in a Chinese run Asian Co-prosperity sphere.

China's population is about to start imploding. Ethnic Chinese populations around the globe have a TFR of 1. That means on average, 2 people have 1 child. However, some people have two children and others have none, out of personal preference. In China, people who don't want children have none, whereas people who want 2 have 1. That means its TFR is about to start approaching 0.5, which is another way of say 4 people will start having 1 child, on average. At this rate, in the next few generations, China's population will go down 75% if the 2 child cap isn't lifted. Even if the cap were lifted, it will go down in half, based on the reproductive proclivities of urban ethnic Chinese.

The issue is modernization. In China, as in 19th century America, when the vast majority of the country was composed of tillers of the soil, farmers saw great advantage in having a large number of children - each child was an extra pair of hands in the fields. Today, children are an economic burden from the time they are born. This is why China, where less than half of the population is engaged in farming (down from 90+%), is seeing average family sizes nosedive.

13 posted on 11/15/2013 10:17:49 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: dennisw

Or they’re looking at a demographic timebomb.


17 posted on 11/15/2013 11:27:07 AM PST by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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