The reason why Progressives might win is because a large part of the electorate loves them, actually loves them.
IMHO
Women
The LGBT Community
The Young
African-Americans
Jews
Latinos
American Indians (oops: Native Americans)
AARP Members
Three of my Five Children
Union Members
Schoolteachers
Illegal Aliens
Legal Aliens
EBT Card Holders
SSI Collectors
White NRA Members
FReepers