“If Bevin is ahead of Grimes by 6 and McConnell is even with the Dem, then Bevin should have substantial lead aainst Mcconnell in the primary election.”
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Not necessarily true. McConnell has, as would be expected, significant name recognition in Kentucky. But his negatives would drive a chunk of Republicans and conservatives to vote for a Democrat over him. Bevin does not have McConnell’s problem with negatives but does not yet have broad name recognition—so folks who don’t have any negative feelings for him and don’t know him will vote for him simply because he is not a Democrat.
It WILL BE A STRUGGLE for Bevin to get the Republican nomination in the primary because of his lack of name recognition. We need to support him in his challenge of the surreptitious back-stabber McConnell as much as we can.
So Bevin may have gotten the ‘generic default vote’ over Grimes and McConnell in this general election poll. Still, it looks like a great start. Both McConnell and Grimes must suck rotten eggs to the Kentucky electorate favoring Bevin with the big Mo.